Red Wings vs Stars Prediction 3/14/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Wings vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 14^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 90 points this season with a 41-14-10 record, and are 27-37 ATS and 32-31 in over/under. They have a 21-7-4 home record and a 20-7-6 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 7-2 home win over the Oilers, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home win over the Golden Knights, a 4-3 home overtime win over the Blackhawks, and a 5-4 home shootout loss to the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.46 goals per game and are scoring 30.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.65 goals per game and are killing 80.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 78 points and 36 goals, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with 49. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 27-10-5 record, with 2.64 GAA and .900 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 14-4-5 record, with 2.28 GAA and .912 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 79 points this season with a 36-23-7 record, and are 33-32 ATS and 30-32 in over/under. They have a 18-11-3 home record and a 18-12-4 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-1 road loss to the Lightning, and their previous three games were a 4-3 road loss to the Panthers, a 3-0 road win over the Devils, and a 3-1 home loss to the Panthers.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 22.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 78.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex DeBrincat leads the Red Wings with 65 points and 33 goals, while Lucas Raymond leads the team in assists with 45. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 24-15-2 record, with 2.57 GAA and .906 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 12-8-5 record, with 3.03 GAA and .891 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: March 14, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 12 home games against the Red Wings.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last 11 night games at American Airlines Center.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last five games between the Red Wings and Stars.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last eight games when trailing after the second period.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last four games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last six night games against the Red Wings following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last four games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 19 of the Red Wings’ last 20 games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Red Wings and Stars.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mavrik Bourque has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances against the Red Wings.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (22) this season.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Lucas Raymond has scored at least one goal in four of the Red Wings’ last five road games against Central Division opponents.
• Andrew Copp has recorded an assist in four of his last five appearances.
• Justin Faulk has recorded three assists against the Stars this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.65).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.10%).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.61).

Red Wings vs Stars Prediction

The Red Wings won their previous meeting against the Stars this season by 4-3 at home in overtime but the Stars are 8-1 in their 9 meetings before that.

In this Red Wings vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -170 home favorites. The Stars have been the better team this season and are the hottest team in hockey right now with a 13-1 record in their last 14 games and 9-1 in their last 10 at home. On the flip side, the Red Wings are just 1-4 in their last 5 games and will be playing their fourth straight game on the road and their 9^th road game in their last 11 games. Keep it simple and take the better team, in better form, playing at home. Take the Stars on the moneyline.