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Wild vs Stars Prediction 3/21/26 NHL Picks Today

Dallas Stars (43-15-10) vs. Minnesota Wild (39-19-12)
March 21, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Wild 110 / Dallas Stars -130; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild meet Saturday in NHL action at the Grand Casino Arena. Here’s a Wild vs. Stars Prediction. This article will include a Wild vs. Stars Pick.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Avs, lost to the Mammoth, and play the Golden Knights next. The Stars have won 15 of their last 17 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.41 goals per game and are scoring on 29.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 37 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 49 assists, and Jason Robertson has 239 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.66 goals per game and are killing 80.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 113 goals on 1,158 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 59 goals on 633 shots.

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild split with the Blackhawks, lost to the Maple Leafs, and play the Lightning next. The Wild have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Minnesota Wild are averaging 3.24 goals per game and are scoring 24.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Kirill Kaprizov leads Minnesota with 38 goals, Matt Boldy has 37 assists and Joel Eriksson Ek has 173 shots on goal. Defensively, the Minnesota Wild are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 79.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Filip Gustavsson has allowed 107 goals on 1,195 shots faced, and Jesper Wallstedt has given up 78 goals on 880 shots.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Wild’s last four games at Grand Casino Arena.
  • The Stars have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 15 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Wild have won the third period in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last 10 games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Wild have lost four of their last five games.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five road games.
  • The Stars have won the first period in each of their last six road games after coming off a shootout.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Wild’s last eight day games against Central Division opponents has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the last nine day games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last four day games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 14 road games against the Wild.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last eight Saturday games.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of the Wild’s last eight Saturday games.
  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored a goal in four of the Wild’s last five games as underdogs.
  • Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five road games against the Wild.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances.
  • Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Wild rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.78%).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.80).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.27%).

Wild vs Stars Prediction

We’ve been on the Stars a lot during this winning stretch and they’ve been one of the most consistent teams in the league. You shouldn’t be stepping in front of the Stars much these days. However, the Wild are a legit playoff team as well and they’re due for a bounce-back performance. It’s been a shaky couple of weeks for the Wild and a strong performance at home against a title contender could right the ship. I don’t expect the Wild to stay in this funk for long and you don’t usually get this team as a home dog. I’ll take a shot with the Wild at home at this price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Wild 110

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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