Senators vs Canadiens Prediction 3/11/26 NHL Picks Today

The Montreal Canadiens and Ottawa Senators meet Wednesday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Senators vs. Canadiens Prediction. This article will include a Senators vs. Canadiens pick.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens beat the Kings and Maple Leafs and play the Sharks next. The Canadiens have split their last 8 games.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 3.54 goals per game and are scoring on 24.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 37 goals, Lane Hutson has 54 assists and Nick Suzuki has 139 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.25 goals per game and are killing 76.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jakub Dobes has given up 89 goals on 823 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 81 goals on 635 shots.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Kraken and Canucks, and they play the Ducks next. The Senators have won 9 of their last 12 games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.35 goals per game and are scoring 23 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 30 goals, Jake Sanderson has 37 assists and Brady Tkachuk has 166 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.14 goals per game and are killing 73.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 99 goals on 851 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 64 goals on 457 shots.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won seven of their last eight games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Canadiens have lost five of their last six games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Senators.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
• The Senators have won the second period in each of their last five games.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Senators have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last 19 games as underdogs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The road team has won the second period in each of the Senators’ last seven games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last seven games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last five games against the Senators following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Canadiens and Senators.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 10 road games against the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Dylan Cozens has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.51%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.875).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.54).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.85%).

Senators vs Canadiens Prediction

You can make a case for either side here, as it’s a rivalry between two likely playoff teams that usually play high-scoring and close games. The Canadiens and the plus money are attractive, especially with their success on the road this season. However, the Senators have the advantage of being at home and they’re coming off a successful road trip that should provide more confidence. I’d need more plus money with the Habs after playing last night. The price is reasonable. Give me the Senators.