Senators vs Lightning Prediction 4/7/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, April 7th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview 

The Ottawa Senators are 40-27-10 this season after they defeated the Hurricanes by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Ottawa was tied at two after the first period, but they scored four of the last five goals to get a huge win in the playoff race. The Senators out shot Carolina by a total of 31-28, won 60.9% of the face-offs, and went 2-2 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Cozens, Giroux, Pinto, Stutzle, and Tkachuk (2), while Ullmark stopped 25 out of 28 shots, which was an .893 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa lost to the Wild by a score of 4-1, but did beat the Sabres by a score of 4-1 before that. The Senators have lost four of their last six games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 90 points. Ottawa has scored 3.31 goals per game and they have allowed 3.08 goals against per game, while also going 22.7% on the power play and 74.8% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 33 goals and 46 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 31 goals and 35 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 25-12-8 with a 2.84 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 48-23-6 this year after they lost to the Sabres by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay tied the game at two early in the second period, but they allowed one in the second and one in the third for the loss. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 29-25, won 52.5% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Guentzel and Kucherov, while Vasilevskiy stopped 25 out of 28 shots, which was an .893 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Bruins by a score of 3-1 and the Penguins by a score of 6-3. The Lightning have won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 102 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.59 goals per game and they have allowed 2.75 goals against per game, while also going 21.7% on the power play and 82.3% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 42 goals and 83 assists, while Jake Guentzel has added 36 goals and 48 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Jonas Johansson, who is 11-9-2 with a 3.21 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this year. 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won seven of their last eight night games following a home win.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in six of their last seven home games against the Lightning.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Senators have won the second period in seven of their last eight games as favorites when trailing after the first period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Senators have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven Tuesday games as home favorites.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last five games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last 10 night games between the Lightning and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 road games against the Senators.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 22 of the last 23 games between the Lightning and Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven home appearances against the Lightning.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six road games.
• Darren Raddysh has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs.

Senators vs Lightning Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup after losing a tough game with Buffalo on Monday, so they will be on a back to back here. The Lightning are 23-10-5 on the road this year, while the Senators are 20-12-6 at home. Ottawa has won two of their last three games, but they have struggled over the last two weeks. The Senators desperately need wins right now to make the playoffs and they have a huge advantage with Johansson in net for Tampa Bay. Take Ottawa to win here.