Senators vs Penguins Prediction 11/14/26 NHL Picks Today

Senators vs Penguins Prediction

In this Senators vs Penguins Prediction, the Senators are coming as -130 road favorites. I don’t trust the Penguins at all right now, as they are 2-5 in their last 7 overall games and have three consecutive losses at home. On the flip side, the Senators are 3-1 in their last 4 games and are coming off a win over the Avalanche while having an excellent history against the Penguins both overall and in Pittsburgh. Take the Senators on the moneyline on the road in this one.

The Senators are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Penguins and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 16 points this season with a 7-10-2 record and a 4-3-1 home record. They are coming off a 3-2 road win against the Sharks, a 2-5 road loss against the Ducks and a 5-2 road win against the Kings, and will face the Blues and Predators next.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.11 goals per game with 27.7 shots on goal per game and are scoring 21.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.47 goals per game on 27.8 shots on goal per game and are killing 78.8% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 128 total penalty minutes this season.

Erik Karlsson leads the Penguins with 19 points, adding a team-high 16 assists, while Tommy Novak leads the team in goals with 7 with 34 shots on goal and 14 points and Nick Robertson also leads the team in goals with 7 with 34 shots on goal and 7 points. Evgeni Malkin follows with 6 goals, 11 assists and 17 points, while Sidney Crosby adds 13 points with 6 goals and 7 assists. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 5-6-1 record, with 3.35 GAA and .873 SV%. Sergei Murashov is the backup goalie and he has a 2-4-1 record, with 3.27 GAA and .891 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 26 points this season with a 12-6-2 record and a 5-4-1 road record. They are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Avalanche, a 2-3 home loss against the Capitals and a 4-2 home win against the Mammoth, and will face the Jets and Flyers next.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.10 goals per game with 25.8 shots on goal per game and are scoring 11.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3 goals per game on 27 shots on goal per game and are killing 75% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 243 total penalty minutes this season.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 24 points, adding a team-high 14 assists and a team-high 10 goals with 47 shots on goal, while Drake Batherson also leads the team in goals with 10 with 47 shots on goal and 19 points. Shane Pinto follows with 9 goals, 8 assists and 17 points, while Claude Giroux adds 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists and Dylan Cozens adds 11 points with 4 goals and 7 assists. Samuel Ersson is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 3-3-2 record, with 3.11 GAA and .885 SV%. Linus Ullmark is the backup goalie and he has an 8-1-0 record, with 1.52 GAA and .938 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: November 14, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Senators have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won six of the Penguins’ last eight games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as a home underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following an overtime win.
• The Penguins have won the second period in each of their last four home games against the Senators following a road win.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Penguins have lost each of their last six games following an overtime win.
• The Senators have won eight of their last 10 games against the Penguins.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games after coming off a shootout.
• The Senators have won the second period in five of their last six road games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Senators’ last nine road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Penguins’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 20 of the Penguins’ last 21 games following a shootout win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Senators’ last 10 games as favorites.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in three of the Penguins’ last four games at PPG Paints Arena.
• Rickard Rakell has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six Saturday night appearances against Atlantic Division opponents at PPG Paints Arena.
• Benjamin Kindel ranks T1st in the Eastern Conference for shootout goals (2) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Spence has recorded an assist in each of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Penguins.
• Drake Batherson has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games as favorites.
• Shane Pinto ranks T1st in the Eastern Conference for shootout goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins have recorded the equal-largest margin of victory in the NHL this season (7-goals @ Flyers on September, 30).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins have recorded the largest margin of victory in a road game this season (7-goals @ Flyers on September, 30).
• The Ottawa Senators are the only team to lose a game when leading by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
• The Ottawa Senators held the NHL’s equal-best record in games that have gone to shootout this season (2-0).