Stars vs Avalanche Prediction 3/6/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Friday, March 6th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 38-14-9 this season after they defeated the Flames by a score of 6-1 in their last game. Dallas was tied at one in the first period, but they scored the last five goals for the blowout win. The Stars out shot Calgary by a total of 35-21, won 60.0% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Bastian, Benn, Bourque, Johnston, and Steel (2), while DeSmith stopped 20 out of 21 shots, which was a .952 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Canucks by a score of 6-1 and the Predators by a score of 3-2. The Stars have won 10 games in a row and they are currently second in the Central standings with 85 points. Dallas has scored 3.41 goals per game and they have allowed 2.66 goals against per game, while also going 30.0% on the power play and 80.6% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 34 goals and 38 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 33 goals and 32 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 25-10-4 with a 2.67 goals against average and an .898 save percentage this season. 

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 41-10-9 this year after they defeated the Ducks by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Colorado had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored the last three goals to pull away with the win. The Avalanche were out shot by a total of 28-26, won 51.0% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Kelly (2), Landeskog, Necas, and Makar, while Wedgewood stopped 27 out of 28 shots, which was a .964 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Colorado defeated the Kings by a score of 4-2 and the Blackhawks by a score of 3-1. The Avalanche have won five of their last six games and they are currently first in the Central standings with 91 points. Colorado has scored 3.82 goals per game and they have allowed 2.40 goals against per game, while also going 15.5% on the power play and 83.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 41 goals and 59 assists, while Martin Necas has added 27 goals and 45 assists. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Mackenzie Blackwood, who is 18-6-1 with a 2.22 goals against average and a .916 save percentage this year. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 10 games.
• The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
• The underdogs have won the third period in nine of the Avalanche’s last 10 games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six home games against Central Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in seven of the Stars’ last eight games.
• The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last six games against the Stars when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Nine of the Avalanche’s last 10 night games at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last five games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 12 home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games at American Airlines Center against opponents on a winning streak.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last four home games against Central Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last seven night games at American Airlines Center.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (21) this season.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against the Stars.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (41) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.00%).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.82).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).

Stars vs Avalanche Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup on a lengthy winning streak and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four straight games. The Stars are 18-7-3 at home this year, while the Avalanche are 19-6-5 on the road. Colorado has won three in a row and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five. Both teams are playing at a very high level right now, but Dallas is banged up and continues to miss their second leading scorer. Take Colorado to get the win on the road.