Stars vs Oilers Prediction 5/21/25 NHL Picks Today

The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars meet Wednesday in game 1 NHL playoffs at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Stars vs Oilers Prediction. This article will include a Stars vs Oilers Pick.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Golden Knights in five games and will play for the first time in a week. The Oilers have won four straight road games. The Oilers haven’t allowed a goal in each of their last two games.

The Edmonton Oilers are averaging 3.91 goals per game and are scoring 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Leon Draisaitl leads Edmonton with 5 goals, Connor McDavid has 14 assists, and Evan Bouchard has 30 shots on goal. Defensively, the Edmonton Oilers are allowing 3.09 goals per game and are killing 66.7 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Stuart Skinner has given up 15 goals on 129 shots faced, and Calvin Pickard has allowed 19 goals on 170 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Jets in six games and will play for the first time in four days. The Stars have won each of their last six home games. The Stars have allowed two or fewer goals in five of their last seven games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.62 goals per game and are scoring 30.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with 9 goals, Thomas Harley has 7 assists, and Roope Hintz has 33 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 86.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 32 goals on 394 shots faced, and Casey DeSmith has given up 1 goal on 14 shots.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last six games at American Airlines Center.
• The Oilers have lost four of their last five games at American Airlines Center after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games at American Airlines Center after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have won the third period in each of their last six games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won each of their last 10 road games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have lost eight of their last nine Game 1s of a playoff series.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents when leading after the first period.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in each of his four previous playoff appearances with his team as a favorite against the Oilers.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances with the Stars as favorites.
• Thomas Harley has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last eight home playoff games.
• Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last 10 road games against Central Division opponents.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 10 road games against Central Division opponents.
• Viktor Arvidsson has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against Central Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for Goals (52) this season.

Stars vs Oilers Injury Report

The Oilers will be without Calvin Pickard, Mattias Ekholm, and Alec Regula.

The Stars will be without Nils Lundkvist.

Stars vs Oilers Prediction

The Stars should be favored at home, where they’ve won six straight games. The Oilers also haven’t played in a week, so who knows if the rest will turn into rust. With that said, we’ve seen the Stars fold in the conference finals in each of the last two years. The Oilers have looked like a team on a mission in these playoffs, and there’s value to getting them in the underdog role given their playoff success dating back to last season. Also, the Oilers have won their last four games as an underdog. With wins in eight of their last nine games and an improved effort defensively, I’m rolling with the Oilers and the more favorable price.