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Wild vs Stars Prediction 4/9/26 NHL Picks Today

Minnesota Wild (45-21-12) vs. Dallas Stars (46-20-12)
April 9, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -125 / Minnesota Wild 105; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Wild vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, April 9th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 104 points this season with a 46-20-12 record, and are 31-47 ATS and 38-39 in over/under. They have a 24-11-4 home record and a 22-9-8 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home overtime win over the Flames, and their previous three games were a 0-2 home loss to the Avalanche, a 3-0 home win over the Jets, and a 3-6 road loss to the Bruins.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 28.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.69 goals per game and are killing 80.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 91 points and 41 goals, while Miro Heiskanen leads the team in assists with 54. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 32-12-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .899 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 14-8-6 record, with 2.34 GAA and .910 SV%.

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild have 102 points this season with a 45-21-12 record, and are 40-38 ATS and 43-32 in over/under. They have a 22-10-8 home record and a 23-11-4 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 5-2 home win over the Kraken, and their previous three games were a 5-4 road win over the Red Wings, a 4-1 road win over the Senators, and a 5-2 home win over the Canucks.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 24.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.82 goals per game and are killing 79.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 87 points and 43 goals, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 47. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 28-13-6 record, with 2.59 GAA and .909 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 17-8-6 record, with 2.65 GAA and .915 SV%.

Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: April 9, 2026

 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The home team has won each of the last five games between the Wild and Stars.
  • The Wild have lost five of their last six games at American Airlines Center.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in seven of the Wild’s last eight games.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games.
  • The Stars have won the second period in each of their last eight home games against the Wild.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The Stars have lost each of their last four games as favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The Wild have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Stars.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 home games after coming off overtime.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last eight Thursday games as underdogs.
  • The underdogs have won the first period in each of the Wild’s last five games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the last four games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last four games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Six of the Wild’s last seven road games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 19 of the Stars’ last 20 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last seven games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Robertson has scored the first goal in three of the Stars’ last four games against the Wild.
  • Matt Duchene has scored a goal in six of his last seven home appearances against the Wild.
  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (26) this season.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances against Central Division opponents.
  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Wild’s last 11 games as underdogs.
  • Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:39) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.69).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.69%).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.82).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.80%).

Wild vs Stars Prediction

The Wild are 2-1 in their three meetings against the Stars this season, but the Stars won their only meeting in Dallas with a 5-2 score.

In this Wild vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -125 home favorites. Both teams have already clinched a place in the playoffs but are fighting for the second place of the Central. The Wild have been in better form with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, while on the other hand, the Stars are 3-7 in their last 10. I just have to take a stab with the hotter team right now for plus money, so take the Wild on the moneyline in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Minnesota Wild ML

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