Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 5/1/23

Mirra Andreeva and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the fourth round of the 2023 tennis Madrid Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Mirra Andreeva is coming off a straight set win over Magda Linette that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Andreeva won 68 percent of her first serve points and 67 percent of her second serve points. Andreeva won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 6 break points. Andreeva got 64 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Andreeva is having the tournament of her life, as she’s beaten back-to-back top-20 players and turned 16 years old on Saturday. Anything else is a cherry on top, but there shouldn’t be anybody doubting this young Russian, who has been the surprise of the tournament. Andreeva has won 14 straight matches on clay court.

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight set win over Camila Osorio that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 61 percent of her first serve points and 54 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 12 break points. Sabalenka got 59 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Sabalenka continues her breakout season, and that includes winning 16 of her last 21 sets. Sabalenka looks to make her 16th career quarterfinal in a WTA 1000 and second at Madrid. Sabalenka has won 7 of her last 9 matches on clay court.

There’s no match history between these 2 players.

You have to tip your hat to Andreeva, as she’s beaten quality players and doesn’t look her age. At this point, you shouldn’t put anything past her. With that said, the shoe has to drop eventually, and you can argue Sabalenka has been the hottest player in the field this year. It would be a different level of surprise if Andreeva can pull this off.

I’ll side with Sabalenka in straight sets to shave down the juice.