Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the quarterfinal of the 2023 tennis Wimbledon. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Madison Keys Betting Preview

Madison Keys is coming off a 3 sets win over Mirra Andreeva that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Keys won 68 percent of her first serve points and 47 percent of her second serve points. Keys won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 10 break points. Keys got 71 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Keys has won 9 straight matches, and 8 of those wins were decided in straight sets. Keys looks to make her sixth career grand slam semifinal and first in Wimbledon. Keys is 5-3 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Keys has 24 career wins over top-10 players, and 2 of those wins came this year. Keys has won 9 straight matches on grass court.

Aryna Sabalenka Betting Preview

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight set win over Ekaterina Alexandrova that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 77 percent of her first serve points and 60 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 72 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 11 break points. Sabalenka got 67 percent of her first serves in play and hit 7 aces. Sabalenka has now won at least 4 matches in 3 of her last 5 tournaments. Sabalenka has lost a combined 9 games in her last 4 sets. Sabalenka looks to make her sixth career grand slam semifinal and second at Wimbledon. Sabalenka is 5-0 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Sabalenka has won 7 of her last 10 matches on grass court. 

H2H History

The previous 2 meetings were split. Sabalenka won 2018 Cincinnati in straight sets, and Keys won 2021 Berlin in 3 sets. 

Randy’s Pick

I’ve said time and time again this year that I’m not eager to step in front of Sabalenka and her form. She’s playing the best tennis of her life. With that said, Keys and plus money has value when you consider she’s won 9 straight matches and is hitting her spots with consistency. Keys is controlling her power and she can beat anybody in the field when playing like this. Of course, Keys beat Sabalenka on grass a couple of years ago.

Should be a fun one, but I like Keys and the better price.