Elena Rybakina vs Anhelina Kalinina Prediction – Tennis Picks 05/20/2023

2023-05-20 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Anhelina Kalinina +250 / Elena Rybakina -333
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Elena Rybakina and Anhelina Kalinina meet in the final of the 2023 tennis Italian Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Elena Rybakina Betting Preview

Elena Rybakina is coming off a straight set win over Jelena Ostapenko that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Rybakina won 78 percent of her first serve points and 41 percent of her second serve points. Rybakina won 63 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 9 break points. Rybakina got 60 percent of her first serves in play and hit 6 aces. Rybakina has won 13 of her last 16 matches. Rybakina looks to win her fifth career title and her second WTA 1000 title. Rybakina is 1-1 in WTA 1000 final appearances and 4-9 in final appearances overall. Rybakina has won 8 of her last 10 matches on clay court.

Anhelina Kalinina Betting Preview

Anhelina Kalinina is coming off a 3 sets win over Veronika Kudermetova that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Kalinina won 65 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Kalinina won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 10 break points. Kalinina got 59 percent of her first serves in play and hit 2 aces. Kalinina has now won 9 of her last 12 matches that have gone the distance. Kalinina looks to win her first career WTA final, as her only other appearance was the 2021 Budapest Grand Prix. Kalinina has two career wins over top-10 players, and both of those wins came last year. Kalinina has won 6 of her last 10 matches on clay court.

H2H History

Kalinina won the only match against Rybakina, which was 2022 Charleston. The match was decided in 3 sets and 28 games.

Randy’s Pick

This is a quick turnaround for Kalinina who has played a lot of tennis to get to this point. Kalinina also lacks the big match experience, which is an issue in a title match. There’s just a lot working for Rybakina in this spot, and I expect her to get the job done, winning her second WTA 1000 title. Of course, I’ll back Rybakina in straight sets to shave down the juice.