Elena Rybakina vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Prediction – Tennis Picks 7/10/2023
2023-07-10 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Beatriz Haddad Maia +250 / Elena Rybakina -333
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Beatriz Haddad Maia and Elena Rybakina meet in the fourth round of the 2023 tennis Wimbledon. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Beatriz Haddad Maia Betting Preview
Beatriz Haddad Maia is coming off a straight set win over Sorana Cirstea that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Maia won 80 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Maia won 68 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 12 break points. Maia got 66 percent of her first serves in play and hit 5 aces. Maia has now won at least 3 matches in 3 of her last 5 tournaments. Maia looks to make her second career grand slam quarterfinal. Maia is 1-0 in previous grand slam fourth round matches, which was this year in the French Open. Maia has 9 career wins over top-10 players, and 4 of those wins came this year. Maia has split her last 8 matches on grass court.
Elena Rybakina Betting Preview
Elena Rybakina is coming off a straight set win over Katie Boulter that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Rybakina won 84 percent of her first serve points and 62 percent of her second serve points. Rybakina won 76 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 7 break points. Rybakina got 66 percent of her first serves in play and hit 7 aces. Rybakina has now won 12 of her last 13 matches overall, and has dropped a combined 10 games in her last 4 sets. Rybakina looks to make her fourth career grand slam quarterfinal and second at Wimbledon. Rybakina is 3-1 in previous grand slam fourth round matches. Rybakina has won 9 of her last 10 matches on grass court.
H2H History
Maia won both meetings against Rybakina. Both matches came this year in Abu Dhabi (3 sets) and Stuttgart (1 set after Rybakina retired).
Randy’s Pick
You can make a case for Maia and the plus money, considering she’s beaten Rybakina twice this year. However, Rybakina is the more trustworthy player on the big stage, especially Wimbledon where she not only won the tournament last year, but has now made at least the fourth round 3 years in a row. Rybakina is very comfortable at this event, and Maia hasn’t proven she can get the job done in these big events.
Give me Rybakina in straight sets for max betting value.