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Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 4/15/23

Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune
April 15, 2023 9:30 am EDT
The Line: Holger Rune +150 / Jannik Sinner -189
(Get latest betting odds)

Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune meet in the semifinal of the 2023 tennis Monte-Carlo Masters. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Jannik Sinner is coming off a straight set win over Lorenzo Musetti that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Sinner won 77 percent of his first serve points and 58 percent of his second serve points. Sinner won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on 4 of his 6 break points. Sinner saved all 5 of his break points in a match that was a little over an hour. Sinner looks to make his fourth final of the year and his 11th final appearance of his career. Sinner also looks to make his third career Masters 1000 final trip. Sinner has won 7 straight matches on clay court.


Holger Rune is coming off a straight set win over Daniil Medvedev that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Rune won 74 percent of his first serve points and 72 percent of his second serve points. Rune won 73 percent of his total service points and converted on 3 of his 5 break points. Rune got 52 percent of his first serves in play and is well rested given that he’s played just 4 sets to get to this point. Rune looks to make his first final appearance since last year’s Paris Masters and his sixth career final trip. Rune looks to make his second career Masters 1000 final. Rune has split his last 8 matches on clay court. 

Rune won the only meeting against Sinner, which was 2022 Sofia. The match was actually tied in the third set before Sinner had to retire.

Rune and the plus money is appealing given the little amount of tennis he’s played to get here. He’s fresh. However, Sinner is in better form overall, and he’s been on a tear all year as this could be his fourth final trip of the season already. It’s hard to step in front of the Italian.

Give me Sinner to make the final.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Jannik Sinner -189

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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