Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek 9/7/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds
Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula
September 7, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Jessica Pegula +200 / Iga Swiatek -250
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Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula meet in the quarterfinal of the 2022 tennis US Open.
Iga Swiatek is coming off a 3 sets win over Jule Niemeier that took 24 games to decide. In the victory, Swiatek won 52 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Swiatek won 54 percent of her total service points and converted on 7 of her 13 break points. Swiatek got 67 percent of her first serves in play and hit 2 aces. Swiatek has won 8 of her last 10 matches that have gone the distance. Swiatek looks to make her fourth career grand slam semifinal and first at the US Open. Swiatek is 3-1 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Swiatek has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.
Jessica Pegula is coming off a straight set win over Petra Kvitova that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Pegula won 68 percent of her first serve points and 31 percent of her second serve points. Pegula won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 7 break points. Pegula got 75 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Seven of Pegula’s last 10 victories have been decided in straight sets. Pegula looks to make her first career grand slam semifinal, as she’s 0-3 in previous quarterfinal matches. Pegula has 9 career wins over top-10 players, and 2 of those wins have come this year. Pegula has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.
Swiatek has won 2 of the 3 meetings against Pegula, including the most recent match this year in the French Open. Pegula’s only win over Swiatek came in 2019 Washington.
Swiatek is going to be the favorite for obvious reasons, but she’s been beatable over these last couple of months, and her most recent effort should raise some eyebrows. Pegula is playing some of the best tennis of her life, and she looked comfortable against a respectable opponent on Monday. Of course, Pegula will also have the crowd behind her, which never hurt.
I’ll take a shot with Pegula and the big plus money.