Dan Ige and Nate Landwehr fight Saturday in UFC 289 at the Rogers Arena. Ige enters this fight with a 16-6 record and has won 38 percent of his fights by decision. Landwehr enters this fight with a 17-4 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by knockout.

Dan Ige Betting Preview

Ige has split his last 8 fights and is coming off a January win over Damon Jackson. He is averaging 3.80 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Ige is averaging 1.25 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 26 percent. Ige is coming off a knockout win at UFC Fight Night 217 where he landed 40 total strikes and produced 1 takedown. The bout earned performance of the night honors. Ige now looks for back to back wins for the first time since 2020. Ige is a black belt in BJJ and a brown belt in Judo, and he does some of his best work on the ground or in the clinch. He has a fabulous gas tank that’s helped him win 6 of his 12 career decisions. Ige has solid defense standing up and has 5 submission victories in his career. Ige has never been finished in his career. This will be Ige’s first career fight in Canada.

Nate Landwehr Betting Preview

Landwehr has won 11 of his last 13 fights and is coming off a March win over Austin Lingo. Landwehr is averaging 6.47 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 49 percent. Landwehr is averaging 1.36 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 62 percent. Landwehr is coming off a submission win at UFC on ESPN 43 that earned performance of the night honors. Landwehr has now won 3 straight fights and is 4-2 under the UFC banner overall. Landwehr has a wrestling background, but he’s a striker at heart, with 8 career knockouts. Landwehr has a lengthy frame for only being 5’9” and his gas tank is impressive as well. Despite being 35 years old, Landwehr can be productive throughout the entire fight, and it’s why he’s won 7 of his 8 career decisions. While he has takedown ability, Landwehr wants to do most of his damage on the feet and put on a show. This will be Landwehr’s first career fight in Canada.

H2H History 

There’s no fight history between these 2 fighters.

Randy’s Free Pick

Ige is the more polished, experienced fighter, and certainly the easier to trust. Ige can also use some of Landwehr’s aggressiveness against him if this bout remains on the feet. However, we’re getting more than two times our money with a brawler in Landwehr and there’s always value to that. Landwehr doesn’t have to fight pretty or perfect, he just needs to land a flurry or two to tilt this in our favor. Landwehr has the ability, and let’s also not act like Ige has been all that impressive the last year or so.

Give me Landwehr in an upset.