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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates – August 23, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates - August 23, 2022
2022-08-23 19:05:00 EDT

The Atlanta Braves (76-48) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-75) at PNC Park on Tuesday at 7:05pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Fried is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while JT Brubaker is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Braves are favored to win at -278, while the Pirates are at +230. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Braves (-150) have a 63-61 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (+130) hold a record of 62-60.
  • The Braves have a 62-55-7 O/U record this season (meaning 62 games have gone over the total runs line, 55 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 55-57-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Braves are averaging 4.9 runs per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging only 3.6 (28th).
  • In the field, the Braves are allowing 3.9 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (27th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .251 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .221 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 119 (18th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 186 (2nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have been outstanding this season, recording 572 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Pirates have performed poorly in this area, recording only 412 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.56 (5th in the Majors), while the Pirates are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.66 (27th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 1192 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 24th for total strikeouts, recording 925.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .231 against the Braves this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Pirates’ opponents are at .263 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Braves 29-22-73 15-8-43 14-14-30 26-14-57 3-8-16 0-0-0 2-1-7
  • Pirates 17-31-74 11-14-35 6-17-39 5-3-10 12-28-64 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Braves 53-36-35 32-15-19 21-21-16 47-21-29 6-15-6 0-0-0 5-1-4
  • Pirates 35-54-33 18-24-18 17-30-15 6-7-5 29-47-28 0-0-0 1-8-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 70-54 in Braves games this season. The Pirates have a 69-53 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 2-1 victory over the Pirates at PNC Park yesterday. Michael Harris went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Braves have now won six straight against the Pirates.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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