Aces vs Fever Prediction 9-23-25 WNBA Picks

The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA Second Round Game 2 at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s a Aces vs Fever Prediction. This article will include a Aces vs Fever Pick.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever look to take a surprising 2-0 series lead. The Fever have won 8 of their last 11 games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 80.3 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allowing 74.5 points on 42 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 26 points and 3 assists, while Odyssey Sims is averaging 12 points and 2.8 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer and Natasha Howard is dishing 2.3 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 29.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 28.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces need a win to even up the series at 1-1. The Aces have won 18 of their last 20 games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 83 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 81.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 26 points and 9.8 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 19 points and 4.8 rebounds. Jewell Loyd is dishing 1.5 assists and Chelsea Gray is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 40.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game.

Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 23, 2025

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last eight night games at Michelob Ultra Arena.
• The Fever have lost 11 of their last 12 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Fever have failed to cover the spread in 17 of their last 21 games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Aces have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Fever following a home loss.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

• The Fever have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Aces have lost each of their last two Semi-Finals games as favorites.
• The Fever have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven Semi-Finals games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Aces and Fever have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Fever’s last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
• Chelsea Gray leads all Las Vegas Aces players for assists per 36 minutes (6.3) this season.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

• Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
• Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
• The Indiana Fever have recorded the longest road winning streak in the WNBA this season (4 games).
• The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.

Aces vs Fever Injury Report

The Fever will be without Aari McDonald, Sydney Colson, Sophie Cunningham, Chloe Bibby, Caitlin Clark, and Damiris Dantas.

The Aces don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Aces vs Fever Prediction

On paper the Aces should win this game and series comfortably as they’re not only the better team but the Fever are loaded with injuries. However, the Fever have won 7 of their last 10 games and have covered 8 of those games. At some point we have to accept what it is, and the Fever are playing care free winning basketball.

The Aces have failed to cover their last three games and could have easily lost all of those games. The Fever have covered 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog, and 6 of those covers were outright wins. Maybe the shoe drops at some point, but I’m going to back the Fever yet again.