Aces vs Storm
September 18, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Aces -8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces meet Thursday in WNBA First Round Game 3 at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s a Aces vs Storm Prediction. This article will include a Aces vs Storm Pick.
Seattle Storm Betting Preview
The Seattle Storm look for their first playoff series win since the 2022 season. The Seattle Storm have split their last 8 games.
The Seattle Storm are averaging 81.5 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 92.5 points on 50.4 percent shooting. Skylar Diggins is averaging 19 points and 1.5 rebounds, while Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 17.5 points and 9 rebounds. Dominique Malonga is the third double-digit scorer and Gabby Williams is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Seattle Storm are shooting 44.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Seattle Storm are allowing 43.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces look to make the second round of the playoffs for a seventh straight season. The Aces have won 17 of their last 18 games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 92.5 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allowing 81.5 points on 44.8 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 25 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 21.5 points and 5 rebounds. Jewell Loyd is the third double-digit scorer and NaLyssa Smith is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 43.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 44.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.
Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 18, 2025
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won each of their last 11 home games.
- The Storm have lost 21 of their last 22 road games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Storm have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games following a home win.
- The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Seattle Storm will win
- The Storm have won seven of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Aces have lost each of their last four night games following a road loss.
- The Storm have covered the spread in each of their last nine Thursday games.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Aces’ last nine home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Storm’s last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
- Jewell Loyd has hit 3+ three-pointers in four consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Seattle Storm Player Facts
- Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 87 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Gabby Williams ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
- The Seattle Storm rank 12th for offensive rebounds per game this season (6.9).
- The Seattle Storm rank 1st for steals per game this season (8.5).
Aces vs Storm Injury Report
The Aces don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Storm will be without Katie Lou Samuelson due to a torn ACL.
Aces vs Storm Prediction
You can make a case for the Storm and the points, as they’re an extremely experienced team that’s made to handle the pressure of an elimination game. The Storm have also covered 6 of their last 7 games when underdogs of 5 or more points. However, I’m not going to let one game make me forget what the Aces have done over the last two months. The Aces have won, and covered numbers left and right over their last 20 games. The Aces have covered 8 of their last 11 home games as a favorite. Thick line and I’d like to see a competitive game, but I’m backing the Aces off what they’ve done over their last 20 games.
