Fever vs Aces Prediction 9-26-25 WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever meet Friday in WNBA Second Round Game 3 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Fever vs Aces Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs Aces Pick.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces look to take a 2-1 series lead. The Aces have won 19 of their last 21 games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 83 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 78.6 points on 44.2 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 25.8 points and 9.6 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 17.8 points and 4.8 rebounds. Jewell Loyd is dishing 1.5 assists and Chelsea Gray is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 39.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever look to take a 2-1 series lead and improve to 2-0 SU in home playoff games. The Fever have won 8 of their last 12 games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 80.3 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allowing 77.6 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 23.4 points and 3.4 assists, while Odyssey Sims is averaging 13.2 points and 2.2 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer and Natasha Howard is dishing 2 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 29.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 30.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

• The Fever have won each of their last six games as home underdogs following a road loss.
• The Aces have lost each of their last two playoff games as road favorites.
• The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a road loss.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won 17 of their last 18 night games.
• The Fever have lost 12 of their last 13 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Fever have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last eight games between the Fever and Aces have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Aces’ last seven games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

• Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
• Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
• Chelsea Gray has recorded 44 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Indiana Fever have recorded the longest road winning streak in the WNBA this season (4 games).
• The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).

Fever vs Aces Injury Report

The Fever will be without Aari McDonald, Sydney Colson, Sophie Cunningham, Chloe Bibby, Caitlin Clark, and Damiris Dantas. Lexie Hull is probable despite a back injury.

The Aces don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Fever vs Aces Prediction

The Aces did what they needed to do in game 2, and it played out the way this series probably should. The Fever are too banged up to take seriously against good teams. With that said, the Fever have covered 10 of their last 15 games as an underdog, and 9 of those covers were outright wins.

The Fever are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games as an underdog. If the Fever are going to have any chance of extending this series or winning it, this is a must-win. I expect a nasty home crowd and the players to be more comfortable. I’ll grab the points with the Fever.