Fever vs Aces
September 28, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Fever +4.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever meet Sunday in WNBA Second Round Game 4 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Fever vs Aces Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs Aces Pick.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces look to make the WNBA Finals for the third time in franchise history. The Aces have won 20 of their last 22 games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 84.3 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 77.5 points on 42.7 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 23.7 points and 9.3 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 19 points and 4.8 rebounds. NaLyssa Smith is dishing 0.7 assists and Chelsea Gray is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game.
Indiana Fever Betting Preview
The Indiana Fever need a win to force a game 5 on Tuesday. The Fever have won 8 of their last 13 games.
The Indiana Fever are averaging 76.8 points on 41 percent shooting and allowing 78.7 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 23 points and 3 assists, while Odyssey Sims is averaging 11.3 points and 2.5 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer and Lexie Hull is dishing 2 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 30.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever Betting Trends: September 28, 2025
Why the Indiana Fever will win
- The Aces have lost seven of their last eight day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Fever have won each of their last six day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last seven day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as road favorites following a road win.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won 20 of their last 22 games.
- The Fever have lost 17 of their last 19 games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
- The Aces have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 road games.
- The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games following a home loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last nine games between the Fever and Aces have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Aces’ last eight games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone UNDER the total points line.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
- Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
- Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
- Chelsea Gray has recorded 45 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
- The Indiana Fever rank 1st for second chance points (556) this season.
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
Fever vs Aces Injury Report
The Fever will be without Aari McDonald, Sydney Colson, Sophie Cunningham, Chloe Bibby, Caitlin Clark, and Damiris Dantas.
The Aces don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Fever vs Aces Prediction
The Aces should be favored for obvious reasons, as the Fever just don’t have a lot of healthy bodies and at times it feels like the shoe has dropped. There’s only so much you can expect. However, right when people are ready to write off the Fever, they’ve responded.
Even with back-to-back losses, the Fever have covered 7 of their last 10 games overall and 14 of their last 22 games as an underdog. I don’t expect the Fever to go down quietly, and Wilson for the Aces has looked shaky in this series. Another off game from her will leave the door open for the Fever. Give me the points.
