Lynx vs Liberty
September 18, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Lynx -7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx meet Friday in WNBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Lynx vs. Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 11 of their last 15 games. The Liberty have split their last 8 road games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 90 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 87.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.4 points and 3.2 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 15.1 points and 4 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Leonie Fiebich is grabbing 3 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 85 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.2 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
The Minnesota Lynx look for a win after winning 25 of their last 32 games. The Minnesota Lynx have won 8 of their last 10 home games.
The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 91.3 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 83.5 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Olivia Miles is averaging 19.7 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Kayla McBride is averaging 18.1 points and 3.1 rebounds. Napheesa Collier is the third double-digit scorer, and Natasha Howard is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
- The Lynx have won each of their last 10 Friday games at Target Center.
- The Liberty have lost each of their last four games at Target Center.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 road games following a home win.
- The Lynx have covered the spread in six of their last seven games at Target Center following a road loss.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty have won five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Lynx have lost three of their last four night games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
- The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against the Liberty after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Liberty’s last four night games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Lynx’s last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
- Courtney Williams ranks T3rd in the league for fast break points (108) this season.
- Olivia Miles is one of only three qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (19.7) and assists (6.0) per game this season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
- Pauline Astier ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FT% (88.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Lynx have suffered the equal-largest comeback loss after HT this season – led by -15 points vs. the Atlanta Dream on May 9.
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for net rating this season (+9.8).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.3%).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.6).
Lynx vs Liberty Injury Report
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu is out for the Lynx due to a foot injury.
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion.
Lynx vs Liberty Prediction
I’ve said for months that the Lynx are head and shoulders the best team in the league and should win the title. The respect from oddsmakers is real and a clear indication they agree. However, this is a lot of points for a Liberty team that’s rested and healthy outside of Sabally. The Liberty also need a win to get out of the eighth seed. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 games between the Liberty and Lynx. This is just a lot of points to lay in a big game. I’m riding with the Liberty in this spot.
