Lynx vs Liberty
September 27, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Lynx -6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx meet Sunday in the WNBA playoffs at the Target Center. Here’s a Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Lynx vs. Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 13 of their last 19 games. The Liberty have won 4 of their last 6 road games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 90.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 86.5 points on 45 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.8 points and 3.3 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 14.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Leonie Fiebich is grabbing 3 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 84.3 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
The Minnesota Lynx look for a win after losing 4 of their last 6 games. The Minnesota Lynx have split their last 6 home games.
The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 91 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 84.1 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Olivia Miles is averaging 19.8 points and 4.7 rebounds, while Kayla McBride is averaging 17.6 points and 3 rebounds. Napheesa Collier is the third double-digit scorer, and Natasha Howard is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
- The Lynx have won nine of their last 10 day games.
- The Liberty have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Lynx have covered the spread in six of their last seven home playoff games.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty have won each of their last five day games.
- The Lynx have lost each of their last two playoff games as favorites.
- The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of the Liberty’s last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Liberty’s last four road games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Lynx’s last 12 home games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
- Courtney Williams ranks 4th in the league for fast break points (112) this season.
- Napheesa Collier is one of only 17 players in the league averaging at least 1.0 steals and 0.5 blocks this season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Marine Johannes ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.
- Pauline Astier ranks 8th amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (63.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Lynx are the only team to rank in the top three for both steals and blocks per game this season.
- The Minnesota Lynx have suffered the largest comeback loss after HT this season – led by -15 points vs. the Atlanta Dream on May 9.
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.8).
Lynx vs Liberty Injury Report
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu is out for the Lynx due to a foot injury.
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Jonquel Jones is questionable with an ankle injury.
Lynx vs Liberty Prediction
On paper, this should be a good series between the best team in the league and a championship roster in the Liberty. The underdog is also 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 games between the Liberty and Lynx. However, I just think too highly of the Lynx to fade them in the part of the season that matters most. I’ve said for a while the Lynx are comfortably the best team in the league and will lift the trophy if they play to their potential. The Liberty have 10 road losses and have struggled with consistency all season. I also don’t like seeing Jones on the injury report. This has more to do with the Lynx than anything else. I’ll lay the points with the home team in Game 1.
