Lynx vs Valkyries Prediction 9-14-25 WNBA Picks

The Golden State Valkyries and Minnesota Lynx meet Sunday in WNBA First Round Game 1 at the Target Center. Here’s a Lynx vs Valkyries Prediction. This article will include a Lynx vs Valkyries Pick.

Golden State Valkyries Betting Preview

The Golden State Valkyries recently lost to the Lynx and Storm. The Valkyries have won 9 of their last 15 games.

The Golden State Valkyries are averaging 78.3 points on 40.7 percent shooting and allowing 76.4 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Kayla Thornton is averaging 14 points and 7 rebounds, while Veronica Burton is averaging 11.9 points and 6 assists. Tiffany Hayes is the third double-digit scorer and Janelle Salaun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Golden State Valkyries are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Valkyries allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview

The Minnesota Lynx recently beat the Valkyries and lost to the Fever. The Minnesota Lynx have won 12 of their last 17 games.

The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 76.7 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Napheesa Collier is averaging 22.9 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Kayla McBride is averaging 14.2 points and 2.3 rebounds. Courtney Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Alanna Smith is dishing 2.9 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game.

Golden State Valkyries @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: September 14, 2025

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Valkyries have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Lynx have won 13 of their last 14 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Lynx have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Lynx have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Valkyries have won three of their last four road games following a road loss.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday day games at Target Center.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Lynx’s last five playoff games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lynx’s last five games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Valkyries’ last four games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Napheesa Collier ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for points per game (22.9) this season.
• Courtney Williams ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for assists per game (6.2) this season.

Golden State Valkyries Player Facts

• Iliana Rupert ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.2) this season.
• Temi Fágbénlé has recorded 2+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for points per game this season (86.1).
• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.4).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (76.3).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 12th for assists per game this season (18.5).

Lynx vs Valkyries Injury Report

DiJonai Carrington is questionable for the Lynx due to a shoulder injury.

The Valkyries will be without Kayla Thornton and Tiffany Hayes. Iliana Rupert is worth watching after leaving Thursday’s game.

Lynx vs Valkyries Prediction

When the Lynx are motivated, they can blow the doors off any team in the league, and we saw that a couple of days ago against his very Valkyries squad. The Lynx are going to win it all, assuming they’re healthy. With that said, this is the playoffs, and it feels weird laying double-digit points in the playoffs.

Also, this will be the third time in a week the Lynx and Valkyries play each other. There’s going to be no surprises, and that usually leads to more competitive games. The Valkyries are 6-0 ATS this season as a double-digit underdog. This is a scrappy, competitive group. Give me the points.