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Mercury vs Lynx Prediction 9-26-25 WNBA Picks

Mercury vs Lynx
September 26, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury +4
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury meet Friday in WNBA Second Round Game 3 at the PHX Arena. Here’s a Mercury vs Lynx Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Lynx Pick.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview

The Minnesota Lynx look to take a 2-1 series lead with their second road playoff win. The Minnesota Lynx have won 16 of their last 21 games.

The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 76 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Napheesa Collier is averaging 21.5 points and 7 rebounds, while Kayla McBride is averaging 19.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. Courtney Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Alanna Smith is dishing 2.5 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look for their second home playoff win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Mercury have won 13 of their last 22 games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 75.8 points on 39.5 percent shooting and allowing 74.8 points on 39.4 percent shooting. Alyssa Thomas is averaging 17.2 points and 8.4 rebounds, while Satou Sabally is averaging 16.2 points and 8.4 rebounds. Kahleah Copper is the third double-digit scorer and Sami Whitcomb is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 25.8 percent from beyond the arc and 85.2 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 26.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.

Mercury vs Lynx Injury Report

The Mercury don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Lynx will be without DiJonai Carrington due to a foot injury.

Mercury vs Lynx Prediction

As I said previously, the Lynx are the team to beat and are going to be favored the rest of the way. However, the Mercury are too talented to turn down in the underdog role. In fact, you can argue the Mercury should be up 2-0 in this series after falling apart in the fourth quarter of game 1.

The Mercury have outplayed the Lynx for much of this series. The Mercury have the talent to win the title, and they don’t appear scared of the Lynx, as AT and Sabally were popping off at the mouth in game 2. The Mercury aren’t backing down. The points are valuable, as this series feels like a toss-up right now. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mercury +4

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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