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Mercury vs Sparks Prediction 9-9-25 WNBA Picks

Mercury vs Sparks
September 9, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury -8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the PHX Arena. Here’s a Mercury vs Sparks Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Sparks Pick.

Los Angeles Sparks Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks beat the Wings, lost to the Dream, and they play the Aces next. The Sparks have won 14 of their last 22 games.

The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 85.8 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 87.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Kelsey Plum is averaging 19.9 points and 5.8 assists, while Dearica Hamby is averaging 18.4 points and 8 rebounds. Azura Stevens is the third double-digit scorer and Rickea Jackson is dishing 1.7 assists. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury beat the Mystics, lost to the Sun, and they play the Wings next. The Mercury have won 11 of their last 15 games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.2 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 79.6 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Satou Sabally is averaging 16.3 points and 6 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 15.9 points and 9 rebounds. Kahleah Copper is the third double-digit scorer and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.

Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: September 9, 2025

 

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

  • The Mercury have won each of their last seven games against the Sparks.
  • The Sparks have lost eight of their last nine games at PHX Arena.
  • The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Sparks teams that held a losing record.
  • The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games.

Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win

  • The Sparks have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Sparks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Mercury teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Mercury’s last seven night games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Sparks’ last four games against the Mercury following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

  • Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.2) this season.
  • Kahleah Copper ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.1) this season.

Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts

  • Dearica Hamby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (57.6%) this season.
  • Rickea Jackson has hit at least 1 three-pointer in 15 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for bench points per game (24.9) this season.
  • Phoenix Mercury scored 36 unanswered points against Indiana Fever on August 7 – team’s equal-biggest scoring run of the season.
  • The Los Angeles Sparks rank 12th for opponent points per game this season (88.0).
  • The Los Angeles Sparks rank 12th for opponent assists per game this season (22.4).

Mercury vs Sparks Injury Report

The Mercury don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Kelsey Plum is questionable for the Sparks due to a foot injury.

Mercury vs Sparks Prediction

There’s intrigue to grabbing the points with the Sparks when they’re fighting for a playoff spot, but they’ve covered just 2 of their last 10 games, and now we’re seeing Plum on the injury report. The Mercury beat the Sparks on the road a couple of weeks ago, scoring 92 points in a comfortable win. The Mercury are also fighting for playoff seeding. It seems like the Sparks just don’t rise to the occasion, and they’re certainly not making bettors money lately. The Mercury are one of the best teams in the league when they want to be. I’ll lay the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mercury -8

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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