Mercury vs Wings
September 21, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury +5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Wings and Phoenix Mercury meet Monday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs. Wings Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs. Wings Pick.
Dallas Wings Betting Preview
The Dallas Wings look to build on their 6-game winning streak. The Wings have lost 5 straight road games.
The Dallas Wings are averaging 89.2 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 85.2 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Paige Bueckers is averaging 20.6 points and 5.8 assists, while Arike Ogunbowale is averaging 15.3 points and 3.1 rebounds. Jessica Shepard is the third double-digit scorer, and Maddy Siegrist is dishing out 0.9 assists. The Dallas Wings are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after losing 9 of their last 13 games. The Mercury have lost 30 of their last 45 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 84.4 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 87.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 21.3 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Kelsey Plum is averaging 15.8 points and 2.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Mercury and Wings.
- The Wings have lost 25 of their last 29 road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Wings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Dallas Wings will win
- The Wings have won each of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have lost each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a road loss.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Mercury’s last four games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Wings’ last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Mercury’s last five games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Noemie Brochant is one of only 14 players to have recorded a 15-point, 10-assist game this season.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
- Jessica Shepard ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (10.9) this season.
- Paige Bueckers is one of only three qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (20.6) and assists (5.8) per game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- 11 different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 15+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- Nine different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 20+ points in a game this season – most in the league.
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.8).
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.6).
Mercury vs Wings Injury Report
Kelsey Plum is out for the Mercury with a leg injury. Kahleah Copper is probable despite a groin issue. Kara Dunn is probable despite a knee issue.
Azzi Fudd is out for the Wings with a knee injury. Alanna Smith is out due to a leg injury.
Mercury vs Wings Prediction
The Wings have had issues on the road and actually haven’t won a road game since July 22. However, the Wings are playing their most consistent ball as of late and can’t afford to play around in this one as they’re fighting to get out of the eighth seed. The Wings beat the Mercury twice this season, both by five points. One of those games came on Saturday. I’ve said all year the Mercury are probably the most disappointing team in the sport, and they’re sloppy at both ends of the floor. The Wings should win this game somewhat comfortably and need to do so as well. I have to lay the points.
