Mystics vs Mercury
August 9, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mystics -1.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Washington Mystics meet Sunday in WNBA action at the Gateway Center. Here’s a Mystics vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Mystics vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after winning 4 of their last 7 games. The Mercury have lost 24 of their last 36 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.8 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 87.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kelsey Plum is averaging 21.3 points and 2 rebounds, while Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.8 points and 1.9 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game.
Washington Mystics Betting Preview
The Washington Mystics look for a win after winning 14 of their last 20 games. The Mystics have won 8 of their last 10 home games.
The Washington Mystics are averaging 81.6 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 82.9 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Sonia Citron is averaging 17 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Shakira Austin is averaging 16.1 points and 2.6 assists. Kiki Iriafen is the third double-digit scorer, and Michaela Onyenwere is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 29.6 percent from beyond the arc and 73.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Washington Mystics will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last 12 Sunday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mystics have won each of their last five home games.
- The Mystics have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at CareFirst Arena.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Mystics’ last three games.
- The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Mystics’ last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Mystics’ last nine day games at CareFirst Arena have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Mercury’s last five games at CareFirst Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
Washington Mystics Player Facts
- Michaela Onyenwere ranks 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.4%) this season.
- Sonia Citron ranks 7th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (2.4) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Kelsey Plum is one of only three qualified players to have made a three in every game this season.
- Kahleah Copper ranks 2nd amongst qualified players in the Western Conference for points per game (20.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Mystics rank 1st for opponent field goal percentage this season (42.4%).
- The Washington Mystics rank 14th for free throw percentage this season (73.5%).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.2).
- Five different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
Mystics vs Mercury Injury Report
The Mystics don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Mercury don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Mystics vs Mercury Prediction
I know we have this thing where we back the Mystics as underdogs and fade them as favorites, but we’re laying less than a full bucket. I keep saying it, and oddsmakers don’t listen, but the Mystics are good folks. This team has waves of bigs that just wear on their opponent. They dominate the paint. The Mystics will be a tough out come playoff time. The Mercury still don’t play defense; they turn the ball over endlessly on offense, and they just lost to the Sun. The Mercury are a mess, and you can argue this line should be much steeper than it is. Like the Storm – Fire game last night, this line feels like a gift. It’s Mystics all day.
