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Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 9-8-24 MLB Picks

Chicago White Sox (32-110) vs. Boston Red Sox (71-69)
September 8, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -278 / Chicago White Sox +230; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago White Sox and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs White Sox pick.

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

This past week the White Sox played the Baltimore Orioles. Chicago lost the first pair before an 8-1 win in the finale. After a 3-1 loss to the Red Sox on Friday, in game two the White Sox scored three runs in the seventh inning but couldn’t come back in a 7-5 defeat.

As starter for Sunday’s finale it’ll be Chris Flexen. This year Flexen is 2-14 with a 5.36 ERA in 29 games (26 starts). Flexen is 29-48 with a 5.04 ERA in 149 games (106 starts).

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they took on the New York Mets in their last series, losing all three games for a sweep. In Saturday’s game Boston powered out four runs in the first inning. Cooper Criswell went 5.0 frames with two earned in the start.

It’ll be Brayan Bello in the starter role Sunday. This year Bello is 12-7 with a 4.75 ERA in 26 starts. Bello is 26-26 with a 4.52 ERA in 67 games (65 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the last eight games between the White Sox and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the White Sox’s last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine day games between the White Sox and Red Sox.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last four day games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four day games.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Sunday appearances with the Red Sox as favorites.
  • Jarren Duran has recorded a Single in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jarren Duran ranks T9th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Robert has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Nicky Lopez has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nicky Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (274).
  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (437).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (114).

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

This might be a spot to take Chicago on a value play. I’m probably not messing with it, though. Flexen is coming off a loss to Baltimore with three earned in 3.1 innings. In his two starts prior to that however, Flexen wasn’t too bad with five earned in 12.1 total frames. As for Bello, he’s given up nine earned in 10.1 innings during two of his last three games (zero in 8.0 frames in the other).

On Saturday the White Sox had a couple of very nice offensive innings but couldn’t overcome their early struggles on the mound. Chicago was down 7-2 by the fifth and used six pitchers total. It’s a long shot thinking they can stop the sweep Sunday, but I suppose it’s possible.

Andrew's Free Pick: Chicago White Sox +230

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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