Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1) vs. New Mexico Lobos (0-3)
September 21, 2024 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +14.5; Over/Under: 61.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico vs Fresno State prediction for this College Football Week 4 game on Saturday, September 21st, at University Stadium. Let’s take a look at a New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno State Bulldogs pick.
New Mexico Defense is a Problem
The New Mexico defense is a problem and that isn’t a good thing for this team. New Mexico in the last game against Auburn scored 19 points but the defense gave up 45 points. Two games ago against Arizona, New Mexico scored 39 points, but the defense gave up 61 points. Even in the first game against FCS-level Montana State, New Mexico gave up 35 points and they ended up losing by four points. Against Auburn, the offense actually moved the ball a little better than the final score showed. Quarterback Devon Dampier completed 22 of his 24 passes for 291 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions.
Fresno State Dominated Last Game
Fresno State comes into this game with a 2-1 record overall and they are coming off a big victory in the last game. Fresno State scored 48 points against New Mexico State and they were able to secure the 48-0 victory. In the second and third quarters, Fresno State scored 17 points each. Mikey Keene completed 12 of his 21 passes 221 yards and two touchdowns.
Malik Sherrod ran wild and finished with 15 carries for 113 yards and a touchdown. The defense also allowed only 61 yards through the air and that type of defense is going to need to be strong again here. If the defense struggles here they could allow New Mexico to stick around. Against Michigan, the defense gave up 30 points, and this should be an easier test, but they allowed too many yards on the ground in that game.
Why Fresno State Will Beat New Mexico
- Fresno State has won each of its last seven September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico has lost 11 of its last 12 home games against conference opponents.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 home games against conference opponents.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in three of its last four games.
New Mexico vs Fresno State Prediction
Fresno State is going to put on a show in this game. Fresno State in the last game put up 48 points against New Mexico State and it’s going to be much of the same here. I don’t trust this New Mexico offense and they are going to struggle to move the ball against Fresno State. The Bulldogs are also going to run up the score, and Fresno State is going to cruise to the victory here. Back Fresno State against the spread here.
