Milwaukee Brewers (89-67) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (73-83)
September 25, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +126 / Milwaukee Brewers -149; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 25th, at PNC Park.
Brewers Offense Impressed
The Brewers offense sure impressed on Tuesday scoring seven runs and that was enough for the victory. Tobias Myers went four innings giving up six hits and two runs. The Brewers are averaging 4.82 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.0 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the pitching is ranked 5th.
Willy Adames has hit 32 home runs and driven in 111 RBIs. Getting the start for the Brewers will be Freddy Peralta who sits with an 11-8 record and an ERA of 3.69. In his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, he went five innings giving up two hits and one run.
Why the Brewers WIll Beat the Pirates
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games at PNC Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in 11 of the Brewers’ last 12 games.
Pirates Offense Struggled
The Pirates’ offense scored only two runs and that led to the five-run defeat. The two runs were scored in the 2nd inning, but those were the only ones scored. Jared Triolo finished with three hits and one run. The Pirates are averaging 4.10 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.59 runs per game. The offense is ranked 23rd in the league while the pitching is ranked 21st. Bryan Reynolds has hit 22 home runs and driven in 85 RBIs so far this season.
Getting the start for the Pirates will be Luis Ortiz who sits with a 6-6 record and an ERA of 3.43. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went six innings giving up five hits and two runs.
Why the Pirates Will Beat the Brewers
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Pirates following a road win.
- The Pirates have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against the Brewers following a loss.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Pirates and Brewers are both going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Peralta sits with an ERA of 3.69 and he’s going to dominate here. Ortiz sits with an ERA of 3.43 and in his last start he gave up two runs. Especially the Pirates are going to really struggle to get the offense going and that will be the difference here as this game is going to end up staying under the total.
