Yankees vs Rays Prediction 5/4/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 4th, at the Rogers Centre. Let’s take a look at a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees pick. 

Yankees’ Offense is Sputtering

The Yankees’ offense is sputtering, and they need to find a way to get it going. Even on Friday, when they won, they only scored three runs. On Saturday, the Yankees scored two runs, and they ended up losing by a run. Aaron Judge and Austin Wells hit a home run on Saturday, but that was the only offense that they could get going. Ryan Yarbough was on the mound, and he pitched four innings, giving up a hit and a run. 

Overall, the Yankees are averaging 5.52 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.88 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd while their pitching staff is ranked 11th. Aaron Judge has hit 11 home runs and driven in 33 RBIs. Getting the start for the Yankees will be Will Warren, who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 5.63. Against the Baltimore Orioles in his last start, he went 3.1 innings, giving up six hits and four runs. 

Can Rays Win this Series?

The Rays haven’t been great this season, but they know a win here is going to mean a series win for them. The Rays have only scored three runs total in the two games, but that has still been enough to win one of the games. On Saturday, Curtis Mead finished with two hits and one RBI. Zack Littell was on the mound and he threw seven innings, giving up three hits and two runs. 

The Rays are averaging 3.76 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.73 runs per game. The offense is ranked 23rd in all of baseball, while the pitching is ranked 7th. They have gotten good pitching for the most part, but the offense just hasn’t been consistent enough. Getting the start for the Ryas will be Taj Bradley, who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 4.58. Against the Kansas City Royals in his last start, he went seven innings, giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Rays Will Beat the Yankees

• The Rays have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against the Rays at Yankee Stadium following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rays’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five day games against American League opponents.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

The Rays were able to pick up the victory on Saturday, and they are going to follow that up here with their second straight one here. Will Warren is getting the start for the Yankees, and that is bad news for their chances. He gave up six hits and four runs in his last start, and he’s going to be even worse here. Compare that to Bradley, who was really good in his last start, and he’s going to really step up in a major way here. This game might only be a 4-2 or 4-3, but the Rays will come out ahead. Back Tampa Bay on the money line.