Rockies vs White Sox Prediction 7/4/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 4, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox (28-59, 9-35 Away) beat the Arizona Diamondbacks and lost to the San Francisco Giants at home before suffering a sweep to the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road. Now, the White Sox will face the fourth NL West team in a row. In the latest 6-2 defeat to the Dodgers, Brooks Baldwin led the offense with a two-run homer, while Aaron Civale took the loss after allowing five runs (two earned) on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the White Sox average 3.38 runs per game (29th in the MLB) on a .220/.292/.342 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the White Sox’s staff has a 4.13 ERA (20th) and 1.39 WHIP (26th). Miguel Vargas leads the White Sox with a .220 batting average, ten home runs, and 34 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the White Sox is Adrian Houser, who is 3-2 in seven starts this season, with a 1.90 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 42.2 innings.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies (20-67, 9-34 Home) lost four consecutive series to the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers, and Houston Astros, but at least managed to avoid a sweep against the Astros with a 7-6 victory in Game 3. Thairo Estrada led the offense with four RBI, his best game in the Rockies uniform, while Kyle Freeland pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks. Juan Mejia was credited with the win.

This season, the Rockies average 3.56 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .231/.292/.381 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.50 ERA (30th) and 1.55 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .286 batting average, 16 home runs, and 50 RBI this season.

Antonio Senzatela will take the mound for the Rockies on Friday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 3-11 record in 16 starts this year with a 6.69 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 80.2 innings.

Why the Rockies will cover

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 10 night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The home team has won six of the White Sox’s last seven games.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 13 games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the White Sox at Coors Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the White Sox’s last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the White Sox and Rockies have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (856).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.50).
• The White Sox rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.342).
• The White Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (294).

Rockies vs White Sox Prediction

The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H meetings. Adrian Houser is Chicago’s best pitcher this year, and he clearly has an advantage opposite Antonio Senzatela, but Colorado is surely better than its record suggests, and I am backing the hosts to stay close in this one. Senza has played in a hot and cold form recently, but managed to record a couple of shutouts in five starts in June. I don’t think he will add another one on Friday, but I am backing him to display a solid performance. Back the Rockies to cover the run line.