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Orioles vs Rockies Prediction 7/27/25 MLB Picks Today

Colorado Rockies (27-77) vs. Baltimore Orioles (46-58)
July 27, 2025 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -208 / Colorado Rockies 168; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 46-58 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-6 and 18-0. In their game two win, Baltimore led 3-0 in the second inning and never looked back in the blowout win. The Orioles recorded 18 hits in the game, and they were led by Mullins and O’Neill, who both had three RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Hiraldo and Strowd closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost three out of four against the Guardians and two out of three against the Rays. Baltimore has lost eight of their last eleven games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .265 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 439 runs with a .241 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 14 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 7-5 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this season. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 27-77 this year after they lost game two by a score of 18-0 on Saturday. Colorado trailed 8-0 after six innings and they allowed nine more runs in the seventh in the blowout loss. The Rockies recorded just two hits, and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Estrada and Bernabel, who both had one hit in the loss. Colorado started Senzatela, who allowed six hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Anderson allowed five earned runs. 

Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Twins. Colorado has won three of their last four games, and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.61 ERA with a 1.58 WHIP and a .296 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 375 runs with a .233 batting average and a .293 on-base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Mickey Moniak has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Austin Gomber, who is 0-4 with a 6.03 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 34.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rockies

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have won three of their last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in three of their last four games.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Orioles’ last 10 home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rockies’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last four road games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit a home run in two of the Rockies’ last three games as underdogs.
  • Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Austin Gomber has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 road appearances.

Orioles vs Rockies Prediction 

Colorado came into Saturday playing pretty well over the last two series, but they were roughed up in the blowout loss. The Rockies are just 13-39 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 23-26 at home. Baltimore is a whopping 16.5 games back in the East, and they are starting Sugano, who has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts. Colorado is turning to Gomber, who has allowed 5, 2, and 4 earned runs over his last three outings. I don’t like either pitcher in this game, but Baltimore is clearly the better team, and Colorado has been awful on the road. Take the O’s by at least two here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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