Pirates vs Brewers Prediction 9/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Friday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pirates vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Pirates vs Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 86-55 on the year and play the Rangers, Cardinals, and Angels next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .259 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .408 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 147 hits and 70 RBI, while Sal Frelick and Christian Yelich have combined for 271 hits and 146 RBI.

Quinn Priester gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 11-2 with a 3.28 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. This will be Priester’s second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-77 on the year and play the Orioles, Nationals, and Cubs next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .234 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and a .353 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 127 hits and 70 RBI while Andrew McCutchen and Tommy Pham have combined for 193 hits and 100 RBI.

Johan Oviedo gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Oviedo is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: September 5, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Johan Oviedo      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 3.60
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Brewers: 2-1

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last nine games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites.
• The Pirates have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Quinn Priester      Record this season: 11-2      ERA: 3.28
• Road Record: 5-1
• Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last 11 Friday night games.
• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Brewers following a win.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against the Pirates have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Pirates’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Pirates’ last six home games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Brewers’ last five road games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit at least one home run in two of the Pirates’ last three home games against the Brewers.
• Johan Oviedo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers.
• Johan Oviedo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jack Suwinski has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs against the Brewers.
• Oneil Cruz ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (36) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 18 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (517).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (102).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (717).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1240).

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

You can make a case for the Pirates with Oviedo on the mound, as he’s been solid through 15 frames, allowing 10 hits and 6 runs. I just don’t make a habit of backing bad teams, especially this time of year when motivation is key. The Brewers have been kind to us all year, and they’re looking to close on the best record in baseball along with home field throughout the playoffs.

Priester has allowed just 10 earned runs in his last 27 innings. The Brewers have won 16 straight games with Priester, not losing since May 24. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.