South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/14/25

In this article we will formulate a South Alabama vs Arkansas State prediction for this College Football game on Tuesday, October 14th at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 8 matchup. 

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars are 1-5 (0-2) this year after they lost to Troy in overtime by a score of 31-24 in their last game. South Alabama trailed 14-7 at halftime, but did tie the game at 24 late in the fourth, before losing in the first overtime. The Jaguars were out gained by a total of 420-369, went 8-17 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Bishop Davenport went 10-15 for 104 yards and two touchdowns, while Kentrel Bullock rushed 21 times for 86 yards. Devin Voisin led the receivers with five catches for 44 yards in the loss. The USA defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

South Alabama also has losses against North Texas, Coastal Carolina, Auburn, and Tulane, but did beat Morgan State in their first game. The Jaguars have lost five games in a row and they are last in the Sun Belt West standings. South Alabama has scored 27.0 points per game with 178.0 passing yards and 202.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 31.7 points against per game this season. Bishop Davenport has thrown for 1,063 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Devin Voisin has 37 receptions for 501 yards and four scores this year. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-4 (1-1) this season after they defeated Texas State by a score of 31-30 in their last game. Arkansas State was tied at 10 at halftime, but they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to sneak away with the victory. The Red Wolves were out gained by a total of 521-398, went 6-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Jaylen Raynor went 27-35 for 248 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 92 yards and two scores on 19 carries. Corey Rucker led the receivers with eight receptions for 102 yards in the win. The Arkansas State defense recorded zero sacks and zero tackles for loss in the game. 

Arkansas State also has a win against SE Missouri State, but they have losses against UL Monroe, Kennesaw State, Iowa State, and Arkansas. The Red Wolves have lost four of their last five games and they are tied for third in the Sun Belt West standings. Arkansas State has scored 23.3 points per game with 243.0 passing yards and 119.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 31.7 points against per game this season. Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 1,451 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Chauncy Cobb has 34 receptions for 406 yards this season. 

Matchup/League Facts

• South Alabama ranks 135th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (83.3).
• South Alabama ranks T133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (100.0).
• Arkansas State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Arkansas State ranks 135th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (12.0).

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction 

South Alabama comes into this matchup looking for their first FBS win this season, but they are still a decent sized favorite here. The Jaguars have played decently well against Tulane, Auburn, and Troy this year, but they have allowed at least 31 points in five straight games. Arkansas State picked up a great win over Texas State in their last game, but they have allowed at least 28 points in four of their last five. Take the over here. 

David Racey is 70-48 (59%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!