Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction 12/5/25 NBA Picks Today

The Denver Nuggets and Atlanta Hawks meet Friday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Nuggets Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Pacers, lost to the Mavericks, and they play the Hornets next. The Nuggets have won 18 of their last 24 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124.6 points on 50.9 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 23.3 points and 4.5 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 83.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Pistons and Clippers, and they play the Wizards next. The Hawks have split their last 10 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.2 points and 10 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.4 points and 3.4 rebounds. Kristaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer, and Trae Young is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Hawks have won each of their last seven night games against the Nuggets following a home loss.
• The Nuggets have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The road team has won each of the Nuggets’ last 12 games.
• The Hawks have lost eight of their last nine games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last seven games.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Nuggets’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last seven games between the Nuggets and Hawks have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Dyson Daniels ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.3) this season.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker is one of only five players in the league to have made 6+ threes in consecutive games this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Nikola Jokic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (11.1) this season.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. has recorded 13 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.4).
• The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (125.1).
• The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.0).

Hawks vs Nuggets Injury Report

The Hawks will be without Trae Young, Jacob Toppin, and N’Faly Dante. Kristaps Porzingis and Jalen Johnson are questionable.

Christian Braun and Julian Strawther are out for the Nuggets. Aaron Gordon is also out. Spencer Jones is questionable.

Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction

We’ve made money on the Hawks this season, and they continue to get disrespected by oddsmakers. However, the Hawks injury report isn’t improving, and they’re coming off back-to-back losses, which includes a bad loss to the Clippers. Despite being down key players themselves, the Nuggets are still dangerous and remain a profitable 13-8 ATS on the season. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 games against the Hawks. The line is reasonable. Give me the Nuggets.