MLB Picks

Braves vs Phillies Prediction 4/18/26 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (13-7) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (8-11)
April 18, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -131 / Atlanta Braves 109; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, April 18th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 8-11 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL East. They have a 5-8 home record and are coming off a 0-9 home loss against the Braves. Their previous three games were a 2-11 and a 4-10 home loss, and a 13-7 home win against the Cubs.

The Phillies have a .227 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .374 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 5.14 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 12, also adding a team‑high 6 home runs.

Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 2-1 record, 2.01 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 13-7 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 5-3 away record and are coming off a 9-0 road win against the Phillies. Their previous three games were a 6-3 and a 6-5 home win, and a 4-10 home loss against the Marlins.

The Braves have a .278 batting average this season, .344 OBP and .459 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 2.78 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Drake Baldwin is the team’s best hitter with a .325 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 19. Matt Olson adds a team‑high 5 home runs.

Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.27 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: April 18, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 2.01
  • Home Record: 2-0
  • Last 5 against Braves: 0-2

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won 17 of their last 18 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last four road games against the Phillies following a road win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Braves following a loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Phillies following a win.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 3.27
  • Road Record: 0-1
  • Last 5 against Phillies: 2-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have lost six of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Braves’ last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Braves and Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the last 13 night games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 night games.
  • Cristopher Sanchez ranks T6th in the league for total Strikeouts (31) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last two games.
  • Chris Sale has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
  • Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 night games.
  • Drake Baldwin ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.278).
  • The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (51).
  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (115).
  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (192).

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Braves but both teams are tied 3-3 in their last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

In this Braves vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -130 home favorites. The Braves shut out the Phillies yesterday with a 9-0 and they put Chris Sale on the mound, who goes up against Cristopher Sanchez in a pitcher’s duel between two southpaws. Sale has given up one run or less in three of his four starts, while Sanchez has given up 2 runs in each of his last two starts. The Braves have the second-best offense and the third-best bullpen in baseball and the Phillies have been terrible against lefties. This one is a steal, so take the Braves to win this one for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Related Articles

Back to top button