Reds vs Orioles Prediction 7/5/26 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and Cincinnati Reds meet Sunday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 42-48 on the year and play the Cubs and Royals next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .238 on the season and have a .319 OBP and a .396 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the Baltimore Orioles with 85 hits and 60 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Taylor Ward have combined for 167 hits and 62 RBI.

Kyle Bradish gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-8 with a 3.77 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. This will be Bradish’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-48 on the year and play the Cubs and Phillies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 228 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .389 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 85 hits and 60 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 145 hits and 75 RBI.

Nick Lodolo gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-2 with a 5.05 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Lodolo is 0-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won 18 of their last 19 day games following a home loss.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against American League opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last six home games.
• The Orioles have won each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Reds.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games against American League opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in four of their last five games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the last six games between the Orioles and Reds have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last six games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last six games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Holliday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Samuel Basallo has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles’ last three road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (674).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts this season (825).
• The Orioles rank 5th in the league for walks this season (346).

Reds vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are finishing the week strong while the Reds are having a rough week. I expect that to continue. Lodolo has a 5.05 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the season, and through 30 innings at home, he has a 6.30 ERA and .296 allowed batting average. Bradish has been hit or miss recently, but he’s been solid overall with a 3.77 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the season. We’re getting a pick em price. I’m going to roll with the Orioles, the team in better form and with the sharper pitcher. Give me the O’s.