White Sox vs Reds Prediction 8/11/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 11th at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 61-56 this season after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 2-8, 6-3, and 5-3. In game three, Chicago trailed 2-0 in the first inning, but they scored the next five runs to get the win. The White Sox recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Montgomery, who went 1-3 with on home run and three RBIs. Martin allowed two hits and one earned run over 1.0 inning, while Smith picked up the win and Richards got the save. Prior to that series, Chicago lost all three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 557 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 24 home runs and 67 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Sean Burke, who is 7-6 with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 56-61 this year after they lost all three against the Nationals by scores of 3-5, 2-8, and 1-7. In game three, Cincinnati led 1-0 in the second inning, but went scoreless over the last seven innings for the loss. The Reds recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Myers, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Singer allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Antone allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Cincinnati swept the Athletics in three games and won three out of four against the Pirates. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.48 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 482 runs with a .229 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 25 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 20 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 3-2 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The home team has won each of the Reds’ last seven games.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five road games.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road night games.
• The White Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The White Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the White Sox’s last four games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Reds’ last five games as road underdogs.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Colson Montgomery has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four games against NL Central opponents.
• Sean Burke has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Munetaka Murakami has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last 10 home games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Lodolo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous road appearances against AL opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 16 road games against AL Central opponents.

White Sox vs Reds Prediction

Chicago was able to bounce back with a series win against Cleveland over the weekend, but they are just 3.5 games up on the charging Tigers. The White Sox are 36-22 at home this year, while the Reds are 27-30 on the road. Cincinnati was outscored 20-6 in their series with the Nationals and they have allowed 5+ runs in four straight games. The Reds are starting Lodolo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, but is coming off of the IL, while Burke has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. I am going to take a shot on the Reds and the plus money here.