Mets vs Orioles Prediction 9/16/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 16th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-82 this year after they lost the first two games by scores of 1-2 and 5-7. In game two, New York blew a 3-2 lead in the ninth inning and ended up losing in the 11th. The Mets recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Bichette, who went 3-6 with one RBI. Manaea allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Senga blew the save and Pintaro picked up the loss. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the Marlins in three games before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 649 runs with a .238 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 25 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 74 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is 1-3 with a 5.93 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 74-78 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-5 last night. Baltimore tied the game in the ninth and ended up scoring three runs in the 11th for the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mayo, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Baz allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Hoppe got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Guardians before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 681 runs with a .234 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 36 home runs and 101 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 23 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Chris Bassitt, who is 7-5 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 11 Wednesday night home games against AL opponents.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five road games against the Mets following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five Wednesday night games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against the Mets.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Robert Stock’s last five appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of his four previous road appearances against the Mets.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.
• Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
• Pete Alonso ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (195).
• The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1428).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (1321).

Mets vs Orioles Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak, but they have allowed two runs in three of their last four. The Mets are 34-42 at home this year, while the Orioles are 38-39 on the road. Baltimore has won three of their last five, but they have allowed 7+ runs in two of their last four. The Orioles are starting Bassitt, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Stock has allowed 3, 0, 7, and 1 earned run in his last four starts. Take the Orioles to win again here.