Texas Rangers vs NY Mets Prediction 9/22/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Texas Rangers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Sean Manaea for the start here and Manaea is 5-7 with a 4.74 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. MacKenzie Gore will start for the Rangers and is 8-11 with a 4.67 ERA and 172 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-2 loss at the hands of the Phillies last time out to sit at 71-85 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Mets Lose 6 Of Last 8

Bo Bichette leads the Mets with a team-high 161 hits and 76 RBIs while adding 24 doubles, 2 triples, and 17 home runs so far this season. Carson Benge has added 157 hits with 19 doubles, 3 triples, 19 home runs, and 61 RBIs, while Juan Soto leads New York with a team-high 26 home runs alongside 103 hits, 11 doubles, 2 triples, and 65 RBIs on the year. Marcus Semien has contributed 104 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs, and 48 RBIs, while Brett Baty has logged 95 hits with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs, and 52 RBIs. Francisco Alvarez has also chipped in 83 hits with 12 doubles, 16 home runs, and 40 RBIs for New York up to this point in the season.

Texas Rangers Recap

Brandon Nimmo leads the Rangers with a team-high 148 hits while adding 34 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs, and 61 RBIs so far this season. Ezequiel Duran has added 137 hits with 27 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Jake Burger leads Texas with a team-high 27 home runs and 88 RBIs alongside 124 hits and 23 doubles on the year. Josh Jung has contributed 114 hits with 25 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 39 RBIs, while Joc Pederson has added 88 hits, 12 doubles, 2 triples, 26 home runs, and 53 RBIs. Corey Seager has logged 83 hits with 16 doubles, 18 home runs, and 47 RBIs, and Evan Carter has chipped in 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 9 home runs, and 38 RBIs for Texas up to this point in the season.

New York Mets @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 22, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore      Record this season: 8-11      ERA: 4.67
• Home Record: 4-2
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last seven games against NL opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four games against AL opponents.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday home games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against AL opponents.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last five Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea      Record this season: 5-7      ERA: 4.74
• Road Record: 4-5
• Last 5 against Rangers: 1-2

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Mets’ last nine games as underdogs.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Rangers’ last eight night games against NL East opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• MacKenzie Gore has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Joc Pederson has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Mark Vientos has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against the Rangers.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (653).
• The Rangers rank T25th in the league for steals this season (76).
• The Mets rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (198).
• The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).

New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the Rangers in this one. Texas has just hit another gear this late in the season and I think they keep it going here. Sean Manaea has been hit or miss and I trust the Rangers’ bats against left-handed pitching and this late in the season, I think the Rangers get it done.