Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 9/29/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 29th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB playoff matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 93-68 this year after they split two games with the Orioles by scores of 2-10 and 6-3. In game two, New York scored the first four runs in the game and cruised to the relatively easy win. The Yankees recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Volpe, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Yarbrough opened the game, while Warren picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, New York won three out of four against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 739 runs with a .235 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 41 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 17 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 193.2 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 87-75 this season after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 4-3, 2-0, and 2-6. In game three, Boston tied the game at two in the second inning, but went scoreless over the last seven innings for the loss. The Red Sox recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rutschman, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Houck allowed four hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Sandoval allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Boston lost two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Boston has a 3.54 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 689 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 27 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 20 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Payton Tolle, who is 9-6 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 148.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five playoff games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have won six of their last eight playoff games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven playoff games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four playoff games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last 10 night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last seven Tuesday games at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• George Lombard Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as favorites.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
• George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Cam Schlittler ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.95) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs.
• Payton Tolle has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
• Willson Contreras ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.386) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
• The Yankees rank 29th in the league for hits this season (1250).
• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (153).
• The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (285).

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup with the home field advantage, but Judge is still hurt and is considered doubtful for this series. The Yankees are 46-34 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 46-35 on the road. Boston has won three of their last five games and they have been very good on the road all season. The Red Sox are starting Tolle, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Schlittler has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Take the Yankees to win here.