San José State Spartans (2-2) vs. Hawai'i Warriors (1-3)
October 3, 2026 11:59 pm EDT
The Line: Hawai'i Warriors -155 / San José State Spartans 130; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Hawaii vs San Jose State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 3rd at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 5 matchup.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 1-3 (0-2) this season after they lost to Wyoming by a score of 27-10 last week. Hawaii trailed 13-3 at halftime and they were outscored 14-7 in the second half for the disappointing loss. The Rainbow Warriors were out gained by a total of 387-328, went 5-14 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Micah Alejado threw for 226 yards and one touchdown, while Tama Uiliata caught six passes for 39 yards. DeVon Rice rushed 11 times for 75 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Hawaii defeated New Mexico State by a score of 29-19, but lost to UNLV by a score of 21-6 before that. The Rainbow Warriors have scored 18.0 points per game with 258.5 passing yards and 83.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.0 points against per game this season. Micah Alejado has thrown for 1,020 yards with three touchdowns and one interception this season.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The San Jose State Spartans are 2-2 (0-0) this year after they lost to Fresno State by a score of 26-10 in their last game. San Jose State trailed 6-3 at halftime and 13-10 in the fourth, but they allowed the last 13 points to seal the loss. The Spartans were out gained by a total of 344-335, went 6-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-0 in the game. Luke Weaver threw for 244 yards, one touchdown, and four interceptions, while Anthony Ivey caught seven passes for 150 yards. Jabari Bates rushed 19 times for 94 yards in the loss.
Prior to that defeat, San Jose State defeated Cal Poly by a score of 30-20 and Eastern Michigan by a score of 27-21. The Spartans have scored 23.3 points per game with 258.0 passing yards and 146.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.3 points against per game this season. Luke Weaver has thrown for 1,032 yards with nine touchdowns and five interceptions this year.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won each of its last 19 games as a home favorite.
- San Jose State has lost each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of Hawaii’s last nine games.
- Hawaii has won the first half in eight of its last nine games as a home favorite.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won each of its last five games against Hawaii.
- Hawaii has lost 16 of its last 21 games against teams from California.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of San Jose State’s last five games.
- Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven October games as a home favorite.
- San Jose State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games in October.
- San Jose State has won the first half in each of its last seven games against Hawaii.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Hawaii’s last five games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of San Jose State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Micah Alejado ranks 2nd in the Mountain West Conference for passing yards (1020) this season.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Jabari Bates has the most rushing attempts without a rushing touchdown this season (77).
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 137th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (83.3).
- Hawaii ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.5).
- San Jose State ranks T135th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.8).
- San Jose State ranks T134th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.5).
Hawaii vs San Jose State Prediction
Hawaii comes into this matchup after a disappointing start to the season and they have scored 10 points or fewer in two of their last three games. The Rainbow Warriors have a decent QB with Alejado, but he has taken a step back this year. San Jose State is not an easy team to play against and Weaver has been very good at the QB spot. The Spartans have played pretty well this year and I think their offense is going to have a huge day on the island. Take the over in this one.
