Arkansas State vs Georgia State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/24/26

In this article we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Georgia State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 24th at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 3-4 (1-2) this season after they defeated Southern Miss by a score of 23-13 in their last game. Arkansas State led 16-7 at halftime and allowed just six points in the second half for the win. The Red Wolves out gained Southern Miss by a total of 304-289, went 4-17 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Trey Owens threw for 170 yards, while Chauncy Cobb caught four passes for 50 yards. Solomon Baggett rushed 15 times for 48 yards in the game. 

Prior to that win, Arkansas State lost to South Alabama by a score of 56-49 and Louisiana by a score of 23-20. The Red Wolves have scored 27.4 points per game with 233.0 passing yards and 133.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.6 points against per game this season. Trey Owens has thrown for 1,631 yards with nine touchdowns and six interceptions, while Hunter Summers has 31 receptions for 422 yards and three scores this season. 

Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview

The Georgia State Panthers are 4-2 (1-1) this year after they lost to James Madison by a score of 49-22 last week. Georgia State trailed 35-10 at halftime and they were outscored 14-12 in the second half in the loss. The Panthers were out gained by a total of 515-373, went 4-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Cameran Brown threw for 134 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Rodshaun Dorsey caught three passes for 57 yards and one score. Brown also led the ground game with nine carries for 71 yards in the game. 

Prior to that loss, Georgia State defeated Old Dominion by a score of 42-10 and NIU by a score of 35-14. The Panthers have scored 36.5 points per game with 246.7 passing yards and 206.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.0 points against per game this season. Cameran Brown has thrown for 1,291 yards with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions this year. 

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won each of its last three October games as a home underdog.
• Georgia State has lost 20 of its last 22 games against conference opponents.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a home underdog.
• Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
• Georgia State has lost the first half in four of its last five road games in October.
• The home team has won the first quarter in four of the last five games between Georgia State and Arkansas State.

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• The favorite has won 17 of Georgia State’s last 18 games.
• Arkansas State has lost each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of Arkansas State’s last four games.
• Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games at Centennial Bank Stadium.
• Georgia State has won the first half in each of its last four games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas State’s last six October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Georgia State’s last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Hunter Summers leads Arkansas State for receiving yards (422) this season.

Georgia State Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Xavier Esquillen ranks T4th amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas State ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.3).
• Arkansas State ranks 124th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (194.7).
• Georgia State ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.0).
• Georgia State ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (11.3).

Arkansas State vs Georgia State Prediction 

Georgia State comes into this matchup with a 4-2 record overall and they have scored at least 31 points in three of their five games. The Panthers have a very strong offense, but they have allowed 44+ in two of their last four. Arkansas State has dropped two of their last three games and they have played lower scoring games in four of their last five. I really like this QB for Georgia State and while their defense has had some issues, I think they will get the win here.