Hawks vs Heat Prediction 10/28/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs. Heat Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs. Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Hornets and Mavericks, and they play the Pacers next. The Heat have lost 12 of their last 17 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 109 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 121.8 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points and 9.5 rebounds, while Davion Mitchell is averaging 18 points and 7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 30.6 percent from beyond the arc and 72.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 39 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Hornets, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Cavs next. The Hawks have won 11 of their last 18 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 121 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 21.5 points and 9.8 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 18.8 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 30.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last five games.
• The Hawks have won 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Hawks have lost each of their last four games as home favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have won seven of their last eight night games at State Farm Arena.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games at State Farm Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last eight games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Hawks’ last seven games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Dyson Daniels is the only player in the league to have recorded 7+ steals in a game this season.
• Jalen Johnson is the only player in the league to have recorded 15+ assists in a game this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (76) this season.
• Bobby Portis has recorded 66 career assists against the Hawks – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.5).
• The Hawks rank T1st for points in the paint (228) this season.
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (17.3).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.3).

Hawks vs Heat Injury Report

The Hawks will be without Mouhamed Gueye due to a foot injury. Henri Veesaar is out with an ACL tear. Aaron Wiggins is questionable with a knee contusion.

Pelle Larsson will be probable for the Heat despite a finger issue. Simone Fontecchio is doubtful with an illness.

Hawks vs Heat Prediction

The Heat aren’t a team you want to back right now as they’re 0-4 SU and ATS on the season. The Heat look lost at both ends of the floor and are clearly adjusting to the new players. We’ve made money the last two games just blindly fading the Heat. However, it’s kind of desperation mode for the Heat as the media is beating them up and Bam made strange comments after the loss to the Mavs. You can see the frustration across the board. At some point things are going to click, and the Heat are going to show some of that potential. The hole can’t get too deep. We’re getting close to must-win spots for the Heat. That creates value with the free points. I’ll take them.