Miami-OH vs Bowling Green College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions 11/16/21

The Bowling Green Falcons and Miami (OH) RedHawks meet Thursday in week 12 MAC college football action at Yager Stadium. The Bowling Green Falcons need a win after losing five of their last six games. The Miami (OH) RedHawks look for a win after winning four of their last six games.

The Bowling Green Falcons have lost three straight road games. Matt McDonald is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 2,192 yards, 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Tyrone Broden and Austin Osborne have combined for 986 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Christian Sims has 34 receptions. The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 99.8 yards per contest, and Tyrion Stewart leads the way with 324 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 32.4 points and 391.6 yards per game. Darren Anders leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 103 tackles, Karl Brooks has 5 sacks and Jordan Anderson has 3 interceptions.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks are 4-0 SU at home this season. Brett Gabbert is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 1,786 yards, 18 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jack Sorenson and Mac Hippenhammer have combined for 1,731 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Jalen Walker has 23 receptions. The Miami (OH) RedHawks ground game is averaging 145.7 yards per contest, and Keyon Mozee leads the way with 422 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 23.1 points and 357.5 yards per game. Ivan Pace Jr. leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 97 tackles, Lonnie Phelps has 6.5 sacks and Sterling Weatherford has 2 interceptions.

The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The RedHawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in November. The over is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in RedHawks last 5 Tuesday games. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami (Ohio).

The Bowling Green Falcons have had road covering success this season, but they’re a team that does nothing well on either side of the ball, and it’s hard to trust them because of it. The Miami-OH RedHawks aren’t great in their own right, but they’re playing their best ball of the season right now, and they’ve covered 11 of their last 15 games at home. Big number, but I’m not trying to back Bowling Green in any spot. It’s the RedHawks or pass for me.