College Basketball Picks

Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Colorado (11-18) vs. Texas Tech (22-7)
March 5, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech -17.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Buffaloes and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Wednesday in college basketball action from United Supermarkets Arena. Here’s a Texas Tech vs Colorado prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas Tech vs Colorado pick.

Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview

Colorado got off to a pretty nice start in the record column this year. The Buffaloes have struggled mightily since late December, however. After 11 games Colorado was looking pretty good with a 9-2 run featuring losses to only Michigan State and Iowa State. A long losing streak began from there as the Buffaloes lost to Iowa State, Arizona State, UCF, West Virginia, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, BYU, Arizona, Arizona State, TCU, Utah, Houston, and Kansas in succession. Since then it’s been a 2-3 run over the last five games for Colorado. Those wins have come courtesy of UCF and Baylor. Otherwise, it’s been losses to Iowa State, Kansas, and Kansas State, giving Colorado an 11-18 record across 29 games so far this season.



In the Kansas State matchup on Sunday, the Buffaloes came out of the break looking at a 33-22 deficit. Colorado got better from there on a 34-32 run but couldn’t crawl back in an eventual loss 65-56. RJ Smith put up 11 points with three rebounds to lead the team in the losing effort. Bangot Dak added 10 points with four rebounds, two assists, and two steals, while Sebastian Rancik put up 10 points with five rebounds, two assists and one steal in 21 minutes.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

Over on the Texas Tech side, they’ve been a fairly consistent team overall this year but things have been pretty choppy for about a month record-wise. The Red Raiders posted a solid 11-4 run with no consecutive losses in their first 15 games this year. Those defeats came versus Saint Joseph’s, Texas A&M, UCF, and Iowa State. Texas Tech would then hit a winning streak over Kansas State, Arizona, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, TCU, Houston and Baylor. Since then, however, it’s been a spotty 4-3 run with losses to Arizona, TCU, and Houston. The wins otherwise have been over Arizona State, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, and Kansas. That gives Texas Tech a 22-7 record across 29 games so far this season.

In the Kansas matchup over the weekend, the Red Raiders went into the locker room with a 48-37 advantage. Texas Tech was outscored 36-30 the rest of the way but managed to hang on for the win 78-73 in the end. JT Toppin led the team with 21 points, five rebounds and one assist. Christian Anderson added 15 points with four rebounds, six assists, and two steals off the bench, while Darrion Williams also finished in double-figures on 14 points with nine rebounds and four assists alongside one block in 33 minutes on the court.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last 10 night games at United Supermarkets Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Colorado has lost each of its last nine night games.
  • Colorado has lost the first half in each of its last 10 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

  • Texas Tech has lost three of its last four night games.
  • Texas Tech has lost the first half in each of its last four night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction

I’m staying with Texas Tech, but the line’s probably too thick to mess with. The Raiders bagged a nice road win over a solid Kansas team in their last outing, hitting 45.2 percent from the field and 34.9 percent (15-of-43) from 3-point range. Texas Tech did get outmuscled on the boards pretty significantly 39-29, and allowed 48.3 percent shooting on the other side so there’s plenty to clean up moving forward. The Raiders have been below 67 points in both losses during this current 4-2 run, so hitting that 7-point mark here would be a great sign.

As for Colorado, they held Kansas State to just 34.4 percent shooting in their latest loss but shot just 39.3 percent on the other side themselves. The 15 turnovers for 20 Wildcats points didn’t help either. Colorado has been below 66 points in each of their last seven losses, so some quality defense (and some better rebounding) by the Raiders would go a long way here.

Andrew's Free Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders -17.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

Related Articles

Back to top button