Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction 3/27/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Texas Tech vs Arkansas prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 27, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Florida or Maryland in the Elite 8.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13, 16-17-2 ATS) closed out the regular season with four wins in five games to book the No. 9 seed for the SEC tournament. The Razorbacks edged out South Carolina in the first round but fell short to Ole Miss in the second round. Arkansas, despite being an underdog, managed to defeat Kansas and St. John’s in the opening two rounds here in the NCAA tournament.

Arkansas averages 76.6 PPG (105th) and allows 71.0 PPG (149th). The Razorbacks are 196th in rebounds (35.5) and 142nd in assists (14.3). Adou Thiero leads the team with 15.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 1.7 SPG. Boogie Fland follows him with 14.2 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 5.4 APG, and 1.6 SPG, while Johnell Davis chips in 11.4 PPG, 3.3 RPG, and 1.5 APG.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-8, 18-17 ATS) concluded the regular season with three straight victories and entered the Big 12 tournament as the No. 2 seed. Texas Tech secured a narrow win over Baylor in the quarterfinals but lost in the semifinals to Arizona. At the NCAA tournament, Texas Tech was solid against UNC Wilmington and Drake.

Texas Tech is averaging 80.8 PPG (29th) and is allowing 67.6 PPG (53rd). The Red Raiders are getting 36.7 RPG (122nd) and dishing out 16.7 APG (32nd). JT Toppin is the team’s top performer with 18.1 PPG, 9.3 RPG, and 1.4 BPG. Darrion Williams has 14.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, and 1.2 SPG, while Chance McMillian contributes 14.2 PPG and 4.1 RPG.

Why Texas Tech will beat Arkansas

• Texas Tech has won 10 of its last 11 night games against non-conference opponents.
• Arkansas has lost each of its last four night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last four night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas’ last four night games have produced a total of 151+ points.
• Five of Texas Tech’s last six night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+21.4).
• Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.21).

Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction

These teams have met on four occasions so far, and the series is tied at 2-2. The most recent H2H was played in 2021 when Arkansas won 68-66. Personally, I am surprised that Arkansas came this far, but I think it’s the end of the road for the Razorbacks here. Texas Tech is better both offensively and defensively, and they don’t miss their top scorer like the Razorbacks, who will be without Thiero. Arkansas is excellent against the spread lately, but I don’t think they will cover this time around. Go with Texas Tech.