Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

The South Alabama Jaguars and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium. Here’s an Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction. This article will include an Arkansas State vs South Alabama Pick.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars beat App State, lost to LSU, and they play Troy next. South Alabama has lost 4 straight road games. Gio Lopez is completing 64 percent of his passes for 1,014 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jamaal Pritchett and Devin Voisin have combined for 602 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jeremiah Webb has 11 receptions.

The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 210.8 yards per contest, and Fluff Bothwell leads the way with 376 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 29 points and 448.6 yards per game. Blayne Myrick leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 37 tackles, Maurice Strong Jr. has 1 sack and Jaden Voisin has 2 interceptions.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost to Michigan and Iowa State, and they play Texas State next. Arkansas State has won 4 straight home games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 53.9 percent of his passes for 780 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Corey Rucker and Courtney Jackson have combined for 415 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Reagan Ealy has 11 receptions.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 100.8 yards per contest, and Raynor leads the way with 143 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 33.8 points and 429.8 yards per game. Marvin Ham leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 31 tackles, Jayden Jones has 2 sacks and Trevian Thomas has 2 interceptions.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won three of its last four games as a home underdog.
• South Alabama has lost 28 of its last 36 road games against conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Arkansas State’s last 10 games.
• South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas State has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
• Arkansas State has won the first half in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of South Alabama’s last four games as a favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last three games between South Alabama and Arkansas State has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into, Arkansas State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (5.8).
• Heading into, Arkansas State ranks 130th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (2.5).
• Heading into, South Alabama ranks 131st among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (303.4).
• Heading into, South Alabama ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.2).

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction

The South Alabama Jaguars aren’t good enough defensively to lay chalk with on the road. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have had issues of their own, but they’re also coming off-road games against Michigan and Iowa State, so I’m going to show some grace. Arkansas State has won and covered 3 of its last 4 games as home underdogs. South Alabama is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games as a home favorite, and 7 of those failed covers were outright losses. Give me the Red Wolves and the free field goal.