Baylor vs UCF Prediction Football Picks Today 11/1/25

In this article we will formulate a Baylor vs UCF prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 1st at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 10 matchup. 

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 4-4 (2-3) this season after they lost to Cincinnati by a score of 41-20 in their last game. Baylor trailed 24-6 at halftime, but did cut the deficit to 27-20 in the fourth, before allowing the last 14 points for the loss. The Bears were out gained by a total of 376-266, went 4-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Sawyer Robertson went 18-26 for 137 yards and two touchdowns, while Michael Turner rushed 14 times for 90 yards. Josh Cameron led the receivers with four catches for 34 yards and one score in the loss. The Baylor defense recorded zero sacks and one tackle for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to TCU by a score of 42-36, but did beat Kansas State by a score of 35-34 before that. The Bears have lost two games in a row and they are currently tied for ninth in the Big 12 standings. Baylor has scored 34.3 points per game with 318.4 passing yards and 140.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 32.6 points against per game this season. Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 2,513 yards, 23 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Josh Cameron has 44 receptions for 576 yards and four scores this season. 

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights are 4-3 (1-3) this year after they defeated West Virginia by a score of 45-13 in their last game. UCF led 14-7 at halftime and scored the first 31 points in the second half to pull away with the blowout victory. The Knights out gained WVU by a total of 578-210, went 5-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Tayven Jackson went 23-34 for 277 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jaden Nixon rushed seven times for 116 yards and two scores. Chris Domercant led the receivers with five catches for 89 yards and two touchdowns in the game. The UCF defense recorded eight sacks and eight tackles for loss in the win. 

Prior to that game, UCF lost to Cincinnati by a score of 20-11 and Kansas by a score of 27-20. The Knights have lost three of their last four games and they are currently near the bottom of the Big 12 standings. UCF has scored 30.7 points per game with 237.0 passing yards and 208.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.1 points against per game this season. Tayven Jackson has thrown for 1,183 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Myles Montgomery has rushed for 522 yards and three scores on 100 carries this year. 

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• UCF has lost each of its last six road games.
• The favorite has won each of UCF’s last seven games.
• Baylor has covered the spread in each of its last five games in November.
• UCF has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UCF has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.

Why the UCF Knights will win

• UCF has won each of its last three games against teams from Texas.
• Baylor has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Baylor’s last five games at McLane Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Five of UCF’s last six November games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Baylor’s last three games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Three of Baylor’s eight games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Baylor ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.0).
• UCF ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.0).
• UCF ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (146.3).

Baylor vs UCF Prediction 

UCF was able to get their first conference win in their last game against West Virginia, but they will be on the road for this matchup. The Knights have been outscored 54-31 in their last two road games and their offense has been way too inconsistent this year. Baylor has lost two games in a row and they have allowed 83 points in those two losses. The Bears have a solid offensive attack, but the defense has been shredded for most of the season. Take the over here. 

David Racey is 93-72 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!